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Match analysis

EnglandLeague Two

Accrington ST vs Grimsby

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League Two fixture.

Full time2:2HT 1–2

Match Timeline

6'
J. Anderson⚽
Own Goal
38'
A. Cook⚽
Normal Goal → K. Green
45'
J. Woods
Penalty
46'
S. Mols🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Henderson
46'
C. Pym🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Auton
57'
D. Tutonda🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Whalley
58'
C. Caton🔄
Substitution 3 → C. Warren
60'
T. Walton⚽
Normal Goal → D. Love
65'
R. Reynolds🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Doyle
65'
I. Morgan🔄
Substitution 3 → C. Vernam
70'
S. Whalley🟨
Yellow Card
76'
C. McJannet🟨
Yellow Card
77'
T. Walton🔄
Substitution 4 → C. Stockton
77'
K. Green🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Walker
86'
Unknown Player🔄
Substitution 5 → C. Grant
89'
J. Woods🟨
Yellow Card
90+1'
D. Matthews🟨
Yellow Card
90+8'
J. Anderson🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

185Passes accurate248
12Shots insidebox13
2Blocked Shots2
10Free Kicks9
5Shots on Goal7
6Goalkeeper Saves3
5Shots off Goal10
4Offsides1
327Total passes387
12Total Shots19
4Yellow Cards1
2Corner Kicks8
0Shots outsidebox6
9Fouls10
0Red Cards0
39Ball Possession61

Tipster previews (2)

Value VinnyLost

Accrington ST vs Grimsby | Low-Scoring Value

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
85%
Odds
1.85
Model EV
+57.3%

The bookies are looking at this fixture and seeing a standard League Two clash where the odds might lean toward a Grimsby victory, but if you look at the underlying mechanics, the real story is a drought of goals. Accrington ST is currently languishing at the bottom of the table…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Accrington ST

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Grimsby

5W 4D 1L1.90 pts/game

Per game

Accrington ST at home vs Grimsby away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League Two

Overall edge
+201Grimsby
Venue edge
+80Grimsby
Rating period
Match snapshot
Accrington ST versus Grimsby: long term Elo, before the match
Accrington STHomeRatingGrimsbyAway
Strength
1,380Overall1,581
1,467Match venue1,547
1,467At home1,530
1,396Away1,547
Attack & defence
1,409Attack1,513
1,460Defence1,561
1,446Home attack1,499
1,393Away attack1,482
1,512Home defence1,538
1,470Away defence1,552
Match profile
1,668Goal environment1,487
1,677Home goals1,462
1,492Away goals1,525
1,489Possession1,522
Specialist ratings
1,430Set-piece attack1,524
1,432Set-piece defence1,524
1,440Close games1,578
1,363Winning margin1,588

Match venue compares Accrington ST at home with Grimsby away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Accrington STAccrington STUnknown

Starting XI

1L. MouldenUnknown
17D. MatthewsUnknown
5F. RawsonUnknown
22J. AndersonUnknown
2D. LoveUnknown
14S. MolsUnknown
6L. CoyleUnknown
33D. TutondaUnknown
39J. WoodsUnknown
23T. WaltonUnknown
18C. CatonUnknown

GrimsbyGrimsbyUnknown

Starting XI

31C. PymUnknown
5H. RodgersUnknown
2M. KacurriUnknown
17C. McJannetUnknown
3J. SweeneyUnknown
15G. D. TuriUnknown
10S. FinchUnknown
4K. GreenUnknown
11R. ReynoldsUnknown
9I. MorganUnknown
39A. CookUnknown