Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 14:00
League Two
England
England
Full Time

Match Timeline

9'
Ryan Graydon⚽
Normal Goal → Luke Molyneux
26'
Denzel Hall🟨
Yellow Card
31'
Joe Powell⚽
Normal Goal → Kallum Cesay
33'
brandon cover⚽
Normal Goal → Josh Austerfield
35'
Paul Mullin
Penalty
44'
Kallum Cesay🟨
Yellow Card
55'
Abraham Odoh🟨
Yellow Card
55'
Ossama Ashley⚽
Normal Goal
59'
Ryan Graydon🔄
Substitution 1 → Kelly N'Mai
59'
Fabio Tavares🔄
Substitution 1 → George Sebine
64'
Josh Austerfield🟨
Yellow Card
66'
Paul Mullin🔄
Substitution 2 → Tom Bradshaw
66'
Aaron Nemane🔄
Substitution 3 → Jili Buyabu
69'
Abraham Odoh🟥
Red Card
73'
Jili Buyabu🟨
Yellow Card
74'
Macaulay Langstaff
Penalty
78'
Joe Powell🔄
Substitution 2 → Jorge Grant
78'
Brendan Sarpeng-Wiredu🔄
Substitution 3 → Elliot Bonds
79'
Ossama Ashley🔄
Substitution 4 → Jayce Fitzgerald
79'
Kieran Ngwenya🔄
Substitution 5 → Emmanuel Adegboyega
88'
Kallum Cesay🔄
Substitution 4 → Oliver Turton
88'
Luke Molyneux🔄
Substitution 5 → Dan Scarr

Match Statistics

300Passes accurate266
14Shots insidebox7
6Shots outsidebox3
6Blocked Shots1
10Free Kicks16
9Shots on Goal5
2Goalkeeper Saves7
5Shots off Goal4
384Total passes372
20Total Shots10
3Yellow Cards1
4Corner Kicks3
0Offsides1
0Red Cards1
17Fouls12
51Ball Possession49

Starting Lineups

RotherhamRotherham1:1

Starting XI

13J. EyestoneG
5K. NgwenyaD
3E. OtooM
4J. AusterfieldM
10P. MullinF
14Sonny AljofreeD
28Brandon Ashley CoverM
7Fábio TavaresF
12D. HallD
6O. AshleyM
23A. NemaneM

Salford CitySalford City1:1

Starting XI

1W. NorrisG
14A. OdohD
6J. PowellM
9M. LangstaffF
24T. AllenD
44B. Sarpong-WireduM
19R. GraydonF
22A. OluwoD
21K. CesayM
4W. AimsonD
43L. MolyneuxD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Rotherham
Rotherham
Form: L-D-W-D-L
Salford City
Salford City
Form: W-W-L-L-L
Record
3 W
3 D
4 L
•
5 W
2 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
1.6
Scored
1.4
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:1.8
Away:1.0
Scored
Home:1.5
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.3

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Rotherham versus Salford City: long term ELO, before the match
RotherhamHomeRatingSalford CityAway
Strength
1,539.7Overall1,527.6
1,564.4Match venue1,506.1
1,564.4At home1,548.2
1,503.8Away1,506.1
Attack & defence
1,499.5Attack1,442.2
1,539.8Defence1,550.4
1,528.9Home attack1,468.7
1,476Away attack1,460.8
1,536.7Home defence1,555.7
1,529.7Away defence1,518.6
Match profile
1,550Goal environment1,498.3
1,536.7Home goals1,503.3
1,513.3Away goals1,495
1,497.8Possession1,514
Specialist ratings
1,507.3Set-piece attack1,552.7
1,507Set-piece defence1,551.8
1,514.8Close games1,553.3
1,548.8Winning margin1,517.2

Match venue compares Rotherham at home with Salford City away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Rotherham vs Salford City | League Two Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.85
Expected Value:+11.0%
Confidence:7

Alright, gather 'round, let's have a proper look at this League Two clash between Rotherham and Salford City. If you're looking for a bit of honest graft and some straightforward value, you're in the right spot. We're looking at a match where the numbers tell a pretty clear story, even if the football can sometimes be a bit of a rollercoaster. Let's start with our hosts, Rotherham. They’re currently finding things a bit tough, languishing near the bottom of the table. When you look at their home form, it’s a bit of a concern for any fan hoping for a clean sheet. They’ve been conceding nearly two goals a game (1.80) at their own backyard. That’s a proper leaky bucket at the back, and it’s going to make life very difficult for them against a side that knows how to put the ball in the net. They’ve got a win rate of just 20% at home this season, which tells you they’re struggling to turn that home advantage into actual points. Then we’ve got Salford City coming into town. They’re sitting a bit higher up the ladder, and while their away record hasn't been sparkling—they've lost two of their last three trips out—they still carry more momentum. They’ve managed to secure two wins so far, showing they can find the back of the net when it counts. They’re more consistent in their overall form compared to Rotherham, who have been a bit hit-or-miss. Now, the head-to-head is a bit of a curveball. These two teams are practically magnets for a draw; four out of their last five meetings have ended in a stalemate. But, given Rotherham's defensive struggles at home, I don't see it being that easy for them to hold out. Salford just needs to be clinical. They’re the favorites at 1.85, and that gives us a lovely bit of value. If they can manage to navigate the home atmosphere and stay sharp, they should come away with the three points. It’s a bit of a "pick your poison" situation, but the stats point toward the visitors being the steadier lot here. Rotherham’s defense is the biggest red flag on the pitch, and Salford has shown they can be clinical enough to exploit those gaps. Key Points: - Rotherham’s home defense is a major concern, conceding 1.80 goals per game. - Salford City holds a superior position in the league table and a better win rate. - While H2H shows a draw trend, Rotherham's poor home form makes a visitor win more likely. - The odds of 1.85 for an Away Win provide a solid 11% edge over the implied probability. The chosen bet is Away Win.

Read Full Preview →

📝 Match Preview

Rotherham vs Salford City: A High-Scoring Fireworks Display
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.85
Expected Value:+14.7%
Confidence:7

Listen up, football fans! If you’re looking for a tactical stalemate or a snooze-fest of a match, you’ve come to the wrong place. The Big O is here, and I’m telling you right now: life’s too short for nil-nil results, and this fixture is primed to deliver the action we crave. Let’s look at the facts. Rotherham might be struggling near the bottom of the League Two table, but they’ve shown they can turn a game into a complete spectacle. Just look at their most recent head-to-head encounter—a staggering 7-2 victory over Salford City. That is the kind of high-octane, goal-heavy drama that keeps us in the game. While their current win rate is modest, their ability to produce goals in high-scoring environments is undeniable. Defensively, both sides are looking like they’ve left the back door wide open. Rotherham’s home performance is particularly concerning for any 'Under' seekers, as they’ve been conceding a whopping 1.80 goals per game at home over their last five fixtures. On the other side of the pitch, Salford City has been equally leaky on the road, conceding 1.33 goals per game in their recent away outings. When you pair a porous home defense with an away side that struggles to keep a clean sheet, you have the perfect recipe for a goal-fest. Salford City has shown a consistent ability to find the back of the net, averaging 1.20 goals per game over their last 10 outings. With Rotherham's defensive vulnerabilities and a historical trend of high-scoring meetings between these two, the goal expectancy (λ) sits at a juicy 2.57. We aren't just looking for a couple of goals; we’re looking for a complete breakdown of defensive structures. Expect the goals to fly in, and expect it to be a beautiful, chaotic mess of a match. Key Points: - Rotherham's home defense is highly vulnerable, conceding 1.80 goals per game in their last 5 home matches. - Salford City has struggled on the road, conceding 1.33 goals per game in their last 3 away fixtures. - The most recent head-to-head meeting between these two resulted in a massive 7-2 scoreline. - Both teams are currently showing improving trends in their goal-scoring output. - Goal expectancy (λ) is 2.57, indicating a high probability of a multi-goal game. We’re going for the action here. I’m backing the goals to flow in freely. Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 Goals

Read Full Preview →