Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 14:00
League Two
England
England
Full Time

Match Timeline

43'
James Ball🟨
Yellow Card
50'
Brendan Sarpeng-Wiredu🔄
Substitution 1 → Jorge Grant
61'
Joseph Hungbo🔄
Substitution 1 → Tom Nichols
61'
James Ball🔄
Substitution 2 → James Debayo
69'
Paul Glatzel🔄
Substitution 3 → antwoine hackford
71'
Ollie Clarke🟨
Yellow Card
74'
Daniel Udoh🔄
Substitution 2 → Ben Woodburn
74'
Oliver Turton🔄
Substitution 3 → Nathan Asiimwe
77'
Joe Powell⚽
Normal Goal → Kelly N'Mai
80'
Kaelan Majekodunmi🔄
Substitution 4 → Daniel Butterworth
80'
Ollie Clarke🔄
Substitution 5 → Billy Kirkman
84'
Kelly N'Mai🔄
Substitution 4 → Luke Garbutt
87'
James Debayo🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

365Passes accurate229
18Shots insidebox4
3Shots outsidebox8
10Blocked Shots5
11Free Kicks4
6Shots on Goal1
1Goalkeeper Saves5
5Shots off Goal6
5Offsides3
464Total passes317
21Total Shots12
12Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards3
5Fouls11
0Red Cards0
59Ball Possession41

Starting Lineups

Salford CitySalford City1:1

Starting XI

1W. NorrisG
10K. N’MaiD
6J. PowellM
9M. LangstaffF
24T. AllenD
44B. Sarpong-WireduM
23D. UdohF
17D. ScarrD
16E. BondsM
22A. OluwoD
20O. TurtonD

Swindon TownSwindon Town1:1

Starting XI

1C. RipleyG
26D. ButlerD
8O. ClarkeM
9P. GlatzelF
21K. MajekodunmiD
25J. ThomsonM
23A. DrinanF
5S. NegruD
27A. MundaM
15J. HungboF
6J. BallD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Salford City
Salford City
Form: D-W-W-L-L
Swindon Town
Swindon Town
Form: L-L-W-W-L
Record
4 W
3 D
3 L
•
5 W
1 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
1.5
Scored
vs
1.7
Scored
1.4
Conceded
vs
1.7
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.5
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.8
Scored
Home:2.2
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:2.2

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Salford City versus Swindon Town: long term ELO, before the match
Salford CityHomeRatingSwindon TownAway
Strength
1,528.2Overall1,508.1
1,548.2Match venue1,474.3
1,548.2At home1,556.8
1,508.2Away1,474.3
Attack & defence
1,461.3Attack1,497.6
1,533.9Defence1,486.5
1,468.7Home attack1,567.4
1,479Away attack1,447.9
1,555.7Home defence1,517.2
1,504.6Away defence1,482.3
Match profile
1,510Goal environment1,848.3
1,503.3Home goals1,655
1,506.7Away goals1,693.3
1,513.3Possession1,502.8
Specialist ratings
1,548.6Set-piece attack1,462.9
1,547.9Set-piece defence1,464.1
1,551.6Close games1,507
1,518.6Winning margin1,489.3

Match venue compares Salford City at home with Swindon Town away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Salford City vs Swindon Town | League Two Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.65
Expected Value:+32.0%
Confidence:7

Listen up, my friends! We’re looking at a League Two clash that’s about to serve up some serious meat on the plate. I don't care about the vegetables; I want to see goals, and this fixture is practically screaming for them. Grab your beer, fire up the BBQ, and let’s look at the facts. Salford City might be sitting in 15th place in the current standings, but they know exactly how to handle Swindon Town when they are on their own turf. They’ve secured a 60.00% home win rate against the Robins, and they tend to play with a lot of purpose when the home crowd is behind them. While their overall win rate is a modest 30.00%, their home performance is much more stable, conceding only 0.83 goals per game at home. On the other side, Swindon Town are heading into this one with a defense that looks like it’s been left out in the rain. They are conceding a massive 2.20 goals per game away from home, which is a huge red flag for any bettor looking for a clean sheet. They have only managed a single clean sheet in their last 10 games, showing a clear vulnerability in their backline. Even though they’ve managed some wins recently—like the 3-1 results against Colchester and Port Vale—their away form remains a major concern, with a 60.00% loss rate on the road. But the real reason we’re backing the goals is the history. The head-to-head record between these two is a goldmine for bettors. Out of their last 10 meetings, a massive 80.00% have seen Over 2.5 Goals. This isn't just a random trend; it’s a tradition. Look at the most recent scorelines: 3-2, 3-2, 3-2, and a 2-2 draw. When these two meet, the floodgates open. The goal environment for Swindon away is particularly high, and with Salford controlling the ball (67.0% home possession) and putting shots on target (4.25 per game), the pressure will be constant. We aren't here for a boring 0-0; we're here for the action. The numbers tell us that the Over 2.5 Goals market is where the value sits. It's a high-scoring history meeting a leaky defense. Let's get this bread! Key Points: - Salford City has a 60.00% home win rate against Swindon Town. - Swindon Town concedes a high 2.20 goals per game away from home. - 80.00% of the H2H matches between these two have gone Over 2.5 Goals. - The last four H2H meetings resulted in high-scoring scores: 3-2, 3-2, 3-2, and 2-2. - Swindon Town has a very low clean sheet rate of 10.00% over their last 10 games. The chosen bet is Over 2.5 Goals.

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📝 Match Preview

Salford City vs Swindon Town: A Goal-Fest in the Making?
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.65
Expected Value:+32.0%
Confidence:8

Listen up, football lovers! If you’re looking for a snooze-fest, you’re in the wrong place. Life’s too short for nil-nil draws, and this fixture between Salford City and Swindon Town is practically begging for some high-octane action. When it comes to the Big O, we want that excitement, and this match has it in spades. When we look at the history between these two, it’s like they’ve made a pact to keep the scoreboard busy. In their last 10 head-to-head meetings, we’ve seen Over 2.5 goals in a staggering 80% of the matches. But it gets even better—the last three meetings ended in 3-2 scorelines. That is some serious goal-scoring consistency! It's the kind of repetitive action that makes for a perfect betting opportunity. Swindon Town is heading into this one with a defensive record on the road that is frankly alarming. They are conceding an average of 2.20 goals per game away from home. While Salford City has been a bit more compact at home, conceding only 0.83 per game, the sheer volume of goals in their previous encounters suggests that the defensive lines are going to crumble under the pressure. The goal environment for Swindon's away trips is primed for high-scoring chaos. The math backs up the magic. Our goal expectancy sits at 2.62, and with a 90% Both Teams to Score rate in their head-to-head history, the probability of a dry game is slim to none. We aren't just looking for a win; we're looking for a show. With the odds sitting at 1.65, we have a massive edge over the market's expectations based on the historical data. Let’s get those goals flowing and leave the boring stuff behind! Key Points: - H2H Over 2.5 Goals: 80% frequency over the last 10 meetings. - Recent H2H Trend: Three consecutive 3-2 scorelines in recent history. - Swindon Town Away Defense: Conceding a high average of 2.20 goals per game. - BTTS Trend: A massive 90% Both Teams to Score rate in head-to-head history. - Goal Expectancy: Poisson model suggests a total of 2.62 goals. The Big O's pick: Over 2.5 Goals

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📝 Match Preview

Salford City vs Swindon Town Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.65
Expected Value:+15.5%
Confidence:7

Deep into the League Two, this fixture we go. A path of goals, the history shows. To the home side, the advantage is clear; against Swindon Town, a 60% home win rate they possess. But look at the numbers, you must. To the away side, a leaky defense they have, conceding 2.20 goals per game on their travels. The past, it speaks. Three times in recent history, a 3-2 scoreline has occurred in their head-to-head meetings. High-scoring, these encounters are. With Salford's home side showing an improving points trend and Swindon's away form declining, a clash of styles we see. Salford seeks to control, but Swindon's defense, brittle it is. Do or do not bet, that is the question. But hedge your bets, you should. The odds for Over 2.5 Goals offer a path of value. With a significant historical trend of 80% of these matches exceeding this mark, and Swindon's defensive struggles on the road, the wisdom suggests a high-scoring affair. A victory for Salford, perhaps, but the goals, they are the certainty. Key Points: - Salford City holds a dominant 60% home win rate against Swindon Town. - The last three head-to-head meetings have all resulted in identical 3-2 scorelines. - Swindon Town concedes a high average of 2.20 goals per game in away fixtures. - Swindon's away points trend is currently declining (-0.1818), while Salford's points trend is improving. - Over 2.5 Goals carries a high historical probability (80%) and offers a clear edge at 1.65. Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 Goals

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