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Match analysis

EnglandLeague Two

Exeter City vs Rotherham

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League Two fixture.

Full time1:0HT 0–0

Match Timeline

43'
L. Woodhouse🟨
Yellow Card
51'
Anthony Scully⚽
Normal Goal → George Birch
58'
Dominic Iorfa🟨
Yellow Card
58'
Jayce Fitzgerald🔄
Substitution 1 → Tom Bradshaw
65'
Anthony Scully🔄
Substitution 1 → Gwion Edwards
69'
Marvin Kaleta🔄
Substitution 2 → Aaron Nemane
69'
Kieran Ngwenya🔄
Substitution 3 → kian spence
79'
George Birch🔄
Substitution 2 → Ethan Sutherland
80'
Taylor Perry🔄
Substitution 3 → Liam Oakes
85'
Josh Gordon🔄
Substitution 4 → Sonny Cox
90+2'
Charlie Cummins🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

242Passes accurate267
11Shots insidebox6
5Shots outsidebox1
4Blocked Shots2
12Free Kicks8
7Shots on Goal0
5Shots off Goal5
3Offsides0
353Total passes397
16Total Shots7
2Yellow Cards1
8Corner Kicks2
0Goalkeeper Saves5
8Fouls13
0Red Cards0
47Ball Possession53

Tipster previews (4)

Value VinnyWon

Exeter City vs Rotherham: The Under 2.5 Value Trap

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
62%
Odds
1.90
Model EV
+17.8%

The bookies have priced this one as a coin-flip on goals, and that's where the money is. Let me walk you through the maths. Exeter City sit 21st in League Two with 6 points from 8 games — one win, three draws, four losses. But here's the number that should make your eyes water…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Exeter City

2W 4D 4L1.00 pts/game

Rotherham

2W 5D 3L1.10 pts/game

Per game

Exeter City at home vs Rotherham away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League Two

Overall edge
+30Rotherham
Venue edge
+79Exeter City
Rating period
Match snapshot
Exeter City versus Rotherham: long term Elo, before the match
Exeter CityHomeRatingRotherhamAway
Strength
1,523Overall1,553
1,597Match venue1,518
1,597At home1,559
1,497Away1,518
Attack & defence
1,417Attack1,512
1,623Defence1,533
1,474Home attack1,539
1,430Away attack1,477
1,621Home defence1,520
1,578Away defence1,541
Match profile
1,628Goal environment1,555
1,510Home goals1,547
1,618Away goals1,508
1,491Possession1,502
Specialist ratings
1,497Set-piece attack1,517
1,497Set-piece defence1,517
1,498Close games1,532
1,530Winning margin1,559

Match venue compares Exeter City at home with Rotherham away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Exeter CityExeter City1:1

Starting XI

1J. BycroftG
3L. WoodhouseD
16C. CumminsM
20George BirchM
10J. GordonF
5J. FitzwaterD
31J. Doyle-HayesM
8T. PerryM
6J. TaylorD
25A. ScullyM
2L. SamuelD

RotherhamRotherham1:1

Starting XI

13J. EyestoneG
5K. NgwenyaD
15Jayce FitzgeraldM
24J. BuyabuM
10P. MullinF
27D. IorfaD
6O. AshleyM
4J. AusterfieldM
14Sonny AljofreeD
17Marvin Marvellous KaletaM
12D. HallD