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Match analysis

EnglandLeague Two

Grimsby vs Shrewsbury

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League Two fixture.

Full time1:2HT 0–1

Match Timeline

19'
George Lloyd⚽
Normal Goal → William Boyle
26'
Kevin Berkoe🟨
Yellow Card
50'
Isaac Fletcher🟨
Yellow Card
56'
Kian McMahon-Brown🟨
Yellow Card
58'
Cian Doyle🟨
Yellow Card
60'
Kian McMahon-Brown⚽
Normal Goal → William Boyle
61'
Charles Vernam🔄
Substitution 1 → Iwan Morgan
61'
Cian Doyle🔄
Substitution 2 → Finn Cartwright
74'
Josh Ruffels🟨
Yellow Card
75'
Finn Cartwright⚽
Normal Goal → Iwan Morgan
75'
George Lloyd🟨
Yellow Card
80'
Isaac Fletcher🔄
Substitution 1 → Josh Davison
80'
J. Turner-Cook🔄
Substitution 2 → will gray
90'
Jamie Walker🔄
Substitution 3 → Ryley Reynolds
90'
Andy Cook🔄
Substitution 4 → Sonny Finch
90+4'
Josh Davison🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

266Passes accurate109
13Shots insidebox8
8Shots outsidebox1
10Blocked Shots1
25Free Kicks12
5Shots on Goal4
2Goalkeeper Saves3
6Shots off Goal4
2Offsides0
390Total passes221
21Total Shots9
1Yellow Cards6
8Corner Kicks6
13Fouls25
0Red Cards0
64Ball Possession36

Tipster previews (3)

Mr SimpleLost

Grimsby vs Shrewsbury: The Goals Are Coming In Slow

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
55%
Odds
2.06
Model EV
+13.3%

Right, grab a pint and settle in, because this one's got the makings of a proper low-scoring affair. Grimsby are at home on Saturday afternoon to welcome Shrewsbury, and if the numbers don't lie — and they mostly do — you're looking at a game where the scoreline could be 1-0…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Grimsby

3W 4D 3L1.30 pts/game

Shrewsbury

2W 2D 6L0.80 pts/game

Per game

Grimsby at home vs Shrewsbury away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League Two

Overall edge
+141Grimsby
Venue edge
+158Grimsby
Rating period
Match snapshot
Grimsby versus Shrewsbury: long term Elo, before the match
GrimsbyHomeRatingShrewsburyAway
Strength
1,568Overall1,427
1,548Match venue1,391
1,548At home1,574
1,527Away1,391
Attack & defence
1,519Attack1,388
1,555Defence1,494
1,507Home attack1,461
1,487Away attack1,369
1,560Home defence1,578
1,528Away defence1,483
Match profile
1,495Goal environment1,405
1,458Home goals1,445
1,537Away goals1,460
1,525Possession1,464
Specialist ratings
1,523Set-piece attack1,496
1,523Set-piece defence1,496
1,551Close games1,515
1,578Winning margin1,397

Match venue compares Grimsby at home with Shrewsbury away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

GrimsbyGrimsby1:1

Starting XI

31C. PymG
3J. SweeneyD
8Cian DoyleM
30C. VernamM
39A. CookF
26E. PrutiD
7J. WalkerM
4K. GreenM
17C. McJannetD
14J. AmaluzorM
5H. RodgersD

ShrewsburyShrewsbury1:1

Starting XI

1William Michael BrookG
3J. RuffelsD
11K. BerkoeM
18K. M. BrownM
8Isaac Andrew FletcherF
5W. BoyleD
7J. Turner-CookeM
9G. LloydF
6S. StubbsD
10T. SangM
2L. HooleM