Match analysis
EnglandLeague One
Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League One fixture.
Matthew Dennis⚽Curtis Tilt🟨Kgagelo Chauke⚽
Oliver Skipp🟥Liam Cullen🔄Wes Burns⚽Wes Burns🔄William Alves🔄Admir Bristrić🔄Sulyman Krubally🟨Sulyman Krubally🔄Matthew Dennis🔄Kyran Lofthouse🟨Luke Thomas🔄Bobby De Cordova-Reid🟨
Value VinnyLostThe pickUnder 2 5
Odds don’t lie — but bookies do. When the numbers point to a low-scoring affair, we follow the math. Leicester host Burton Albion in a League One clash where the underlying data heavily favors a tight, tactical battle. Our Poisson model calculates a combined goal expectancy of…
Umery UnderdogLostThe pickDraw
Welcome back, puppy lovers! It’s Umery Underdog here, ready to sniff out the hidden value in this League One clash between Leicester and Burton Albion. While the bookies have painted Leicester as the clear favourite, I’m always looking for the overlooked pups who slip through…
Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.
| LeicesterHome | Rating | Burton AlbionAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,496 | Overall | 1,461 |
| 1,500 | Match venue | 1,438 |
| 1,500 | At home | 1,468 |
| 1,498 | Away | 1,438 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,494 | Attack | 1,428 |
| 1,500 | Defence | 1,525 |
| 1,500 | Home attack | 1,437 |
| 1,495 | Away attack | 1,414 |
| 1,500 | Home defence | 1,531 |
| 1,502 | Away defence | 1,498 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,498 | Goal environment | 1,577 |
| 1,500 | Home goals | 1,503 |
| 1,498 | Away goals | 1,573 |
| 1,500 | Possession | 1,485 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,500 | Set-piece attack | 1,513 |
| 1,500 | Set-piece defence | 1,512 |
| 1,498 | Close games | 1,460 |
| 1,495 | Winning margin | 1,461 |
Match venue compares Leicester at home with Burton Albion away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.
Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.
LeicesterUnknownBurton AlbionUnknown
