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Match analysis

EnglandLeague One

Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League One fixture.

Match Timeline

16'
Adedeji Oshilaja⚽
Own Goal
21'
Elliott Hewitt🟨
Yellow Card
23'
Ryan Sweeney🟨
Yellow Card
28'
Jack Armer⚽
Normal Goal → Caylon Vickers
39'
Will Collar🟨
Yellow Card
40'
Michael Smith⚽
Normal Goal → Nathan Daniel Moriah-Welsh
45'
Elliott Hewitt🔄
Substitution 1 → Kyle Knoyle
49'
Louis Reed🟨
Yellow Card
53'
Liam Thompson🔄
Substitution 2 → Rhys Oates
59'
Michael Smith🟨
Yellow Card
62'
Michael Smith🔄
Substitution 3 → Luke Bolton
62'
Nathan Daniel Moriah-Welsh🔄
Substitution 4 → Lucas Akins
62'
Will Collar🔄
Substitution 1 → Sulyman Krubally
63'
Caylon Vickers🔄
Substitution 2 → Matthew Dennis
63'
H. Araujo🔄
Substitution 3 → Kain Adom
70'
Lucas Akins⚽
Normal Goal
75'
Stephen McLaughlin🔄
Substitution 5 → Frazer Blake-Tracy
82'
Raphael Borges Rodrigues🔄
Substitution 4 → Emeka Adeile
90+3'
Frazer Blake-Tracy🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

268Passes accurate271
4Shots insidebox9
6Shots outsidebox3
2Blocked Shots2
14Free Kicks11
3Shots on Goal5
3Goalkeeper Saves2
5Shots off Goal5
1Offsides5
370Total passes352
10Total Shots12
1Yellow Cards5
4Corner Kicks5
12Fouls14
0Red Cards0
51Ball Possession49

Tipster previews (3)

PajimonLost

Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town: Home Dominance Expected

The pickBurton Albion win

Chance
45%
Odds
2.50
Model EV
+12.5%

Listen up, we’re looking at a clash where the meat is on the table for Burton Albion. Mansfield Town is heading into this one with a massive target on their back. They’ve been struggling like a weak side on the road, losing 75% of their last four away fixtures. Their defense is…

Mr SimpleLost

Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town: The Home Fortress

The pickBurton Albion win

Chance
55%
Odds
2.50
Model EV
+37.5%

Right then, listen up! We’ve got Burton Albion hosting Mansfield Town here in League One, and if you’re looking for a bit of value, you’re looking at the right page. Let’s talk about Mansfield first. These lads are struggling on the road, and it’s proper painful to watch…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Burton Albion

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Mansfield Town

3W 1D 6L1.00 pts/game

Per game

Burton Albion at home vs Mansfield Town away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League One

Overall edge
+56Mansfield Town
Venue edge
+5Mansfield Town
Rating period
Match snapshot
Burton Albion versus Mansfield Town: long term Elo, before the match
Burton AlbionHomeRatingMansfield TownAway
Strength
1,459Overall1,515
1,476Match venue1,481
1,476At home1,528
1,431Away1,481
Attack & defence
1,446Attack1,453
1,497Defence1,553
1,460Home attack1,508
1,412Away attack1,432
1,521Home defence1,532
1,484Away defence1,543
Match profile
1,595Goal environment1,550
1,517Home goals1,542
1,578Away goals1,508
1,478Possession1,477
Specialist ratings
1,491Set-piece attack1,471
1,492Set-piece defence1,471
1,459Close games1,474
1,459Winning margin1,528

Match venue compares Burton Albion at home with Mansfield Town away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Burton AlbionBurton Albion1:1

Starting XI

34C. AddaiG
24Harvey AraujoD
3J. ArmerM
8C. WebsterM
18Caylon VickersF
16C. TiltD
14W. CollarM
17R. Borges RodriguesM
6T. SibbickD
4K. ChaukeM
15K. LofthouseM

Mansfield TownMansfield Town1:1

Starting XI

1L. RobertsG
5R. SweeneyD
25L. ReedM
3S. McLaughlinM
17D. McGoldrickF
23A. OshilajaD
24R. HendryM
14M. SmithF
4E. HewittD
16L. ThompsonM
22N. Moriah-WelshM