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Match analysis

GermanyBundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Bundesliga fixture.

Tipster previews (4)

Mr Certainty

Hoffenheim vs HSV: The Goals Are Coming

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
74%
Odds
1.41
Model EV
+4.3%

1899 Hoffenheim host Hamburger SV on 10 October, and the numbers tell a clear story about goals. Hoffenheim's home record over the last 20 games sees 15 of those 20 finish over 2.5 goals, with an average of 2.3 scored per game and 0.95 conceded. Hamburger SV's away record over…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

1899 Hoffenheim

2W 4D 4L1.00 pts/game

Hamburger SV

4W 1D 5L1.30 pts/game

Per game

1899 Hoffenheim at home vs Hamburger SV away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Bundesliga

Overall edge
+811899 Hoffenheim
Venue edge
+1661899 Hoffenheim
Rating period
1899 Hoffenheim versus Hamburger SV: long term Elo, before the match
1899 HoffenheimHomeRatingHamburger SVAway
Strength
1,578Overall1,497
1,573Match venue1,407
1,573At home1,513
1,523Away1,407
Attack & defence
1,584Attack1,440
1,493Defence1,508
1,590Home attack1,466
1,549Away attack1,378
1,525Home defence1,530
1,463Away defence1,490
Match profile
2,752Goal environment1,665
2,128Home goals1,528
2,123Away goals1,637
1,531Possession1,477
Specialist ratings
1,536Set-piece attack1,438
1,535Set-piece defence1,439
1,518Close games1,540
1,583Winning margin1,480

Match venue compares 1899 Hoffenheim at home with Hamburger SV away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting lineups

Lineups are not available yet. They are usually confirmed about an hour before kick-off.