Match analysis
PortugalPrimeira Liga
Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Primeira Liga fixture.
Value VinnyThe pickMoreirense win
The numbers don't lie, and in this one they're telling a story the bookmakers seem to have overlooked. Moreirense at home against Estrela on the road is a fixture where the market has the wrong team as favourite, and that's where Value Vinny finds his bread and butter…
PajimonThe pickMoreirense win
Right, so we've got Moreirense hosting Estrela on 31 October, and I'm telling you, this one smells like a home win if you've got a nose for it. Let me walk you through why. The strongest case for Moreirense starts with the venue. Over the last 20 home games, Moreirense have…
Mr SimpleThe pickMoreirense win
Right, so we've got Moreirense at home against Estrela on 31 October, and if you've been following the numbers, this one's got a clear lean. Let's start with the venue. Over their last 20 home games, Moreirense have picked up 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses, averaging 1.3 points…
Moreirense host Estrela on Saturday 31 October in a Primeira Liga clash. A 120-point Elo gap makes Moreirense the side to beat, with Estrela rated 1432.
Moreirense come into this struggling for results (W L L D W over their last five). With L W L L D from their last five, Estrela are blowing hot and cold.
Moreirense average 1.3 goals for and 2.0 against on home soil. On their travels Estrela are scoring 2.0 and letting in 1.8 per game. Over 2.5 goals is the obvious lean, with the scoring and conceding rates combining to 3.1 a game.
Our best-value bet here is Moreirense to win at odds of 3.04, from three tipster previews on this match. There is no split in the camp: every one of the three previews backs the same bet.
| MoreirenseHome | Rating | EstrelaAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,533 | Overall | 1,467 |
| 1,552 | Match venue | 1,432 |
| 1,552 | At home | 1,485 |
| 1,490 | Away | 1,432 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,474 | Attack | 1,477 |
| 1,542 | Defence | 1,493 |
| 1,466 | Home attack | 1,475 |
| 1,465 | Away attack | 1,428 |
| 1,562 | Home defence | 1,529 |
| 1,523 | Away defence | 1,470 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,425 | Goal environment | 1,522 |
| 1,455 | Home goals | 1,538 |
| 1,470 | Away goals | 1,483 |
| 1,478 | Possession | 1,493 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,438 | Set-piece attack | 1,441 |
| 1,440 | Set-piece defence | 1,441 |
| 1,520 | Close games | 1,483 |
| 1,535 | Winning margin | 1,463 |
Match venue compares Moreirense at home with Estrela away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.
Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.
Lineups are not available yet. They are usually confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.
Moreirense and Estrela have met nine times since November 2022: Moreirense have won four, Estrela have taken one and four were drawn. Our Moreirense vs Estrela prediction page has every tip on this pairing.
