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The New Saints vs Llandudno

Competition
Premier League
Kick-off
Venue
Venue unavailable
Full Time

Match Timeline

22'
J. Pownall🟨
Yellow Card
32'
B. Young🟨
Yellow Card
45+1'
B. Maher⚽
Normal Goal
45+1'
D. Corness🟨
Yellow Card
45+4'
R. Weaver🟨
Yellow Card
46'
I. Cartwright🔄
Substitution 1 → N. Grogan
52'
N. Grogan🟨
Yellow Card
71'
J. Williams🔄
Substitution 1 → I. Jefferies
71'
D. Corness🔄
Substitution 2 → Z. Nolan
76'
N. Shepperd🟨
Yellow Card
78'
R. Hughes⚽
Normal Goal
79'
B. Young🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Holden
79'
J. Lock🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Wilson
83'
N. Grogan🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Faux
83'
L. Higgins🔄
Substitution 3 → C. Ruberto
84'
K. Lloyd🟨
Yellow Card
90+6'
R. Holden⚽
Normal Goal
90+7'
L. Hughes🔄
Substitution 4 → C. Roberts

Match Preview

The New Saints vs Llandudno Preview
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.22
Expected Value:+15.9%
Confidence:95

The New Saints enter this fixture in a position of absolute dominance. Currently sitting at the summit of the Premier League table, they have amassed 25 points from 9 matches, a feat built on a foundation of consistent winning and defensive solidity. Their home record is nothing short of perfect, with a 100% win rate across their last six home fixtures. This consistency is further bolstered by an elite defensive output, where they have conceded a mere 0.30 goals per game on average this season. For a team seeking "certainty," the Saints' ability to shut out opponents while maintaining a goal difference of +22 is a primary indicator of their current superiority. Llandudno, by contrast, faces a daunting task as the visiting side. While they have managed to secure some points this season, their away form is a significant point of concern. They have won only 25% of their last four away matches, and their defensive record on the road is porous, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per game. Their recent results show a lack of consistency, including a 4-1 defeat to Barry Town and a 1-1 draw against Caernarfon Town. These figures suggest that Llandudno will struggle to maintain defensive integrity against a high-pressing, high-scoring home side. The most definitive piece of evidence in this matchup is the head-to-head history. The New Saints have maintained a flawless 100% win record against Llandudno across their last 10 encounters. This historical trend is not merely a coincidence; it reflects a sustained period of tactical superiority and squad depth. When a team possesses a perfect head-to-head record, a 100% home win rate in recent months, and a league-leading goal difference, the probability of a home victory becomes the most logical conclusion. While the odds for a home victory are low at 1.22, they reflect the high probability of this outcome. For a disciplined analyst, the sheer volume of confirmatory signals—ranging from the Saints' defensive metrics to the historical dominance over Llandudno—makes this a high-confidence selection. We are looking at a scenario where the home side's established patterns are highly likely to repeat themselves. Key Points: - The New Saints have won 100% of their last 6 home games. - The New Saints hold a 100% win rate in the last 10 head-to-head meetings against Llandudno. - Llandudno has a poor away record, winning only 25% of their last 4 road games. - The New Saints have conceded only 0.30 goals per game this season, showcasing elite defensive organization. The chosen bet is HOME_WIN.

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Match Preview

The New Saints vs Llandudno: A Fortress of a Match
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_NO
Odds:1.91
Expected Value:+43.3%
Confidence:8

Right then, let's get stuck into this one. We’ve got The New Saints taking on Llandudno, and if you’re looking for a team that knows how to put on a show and keep the door locked, the Saints are your lot. They are currently sitting pretty at the top of the table, and for good reason. They’ve picked up 25 points from 9 games, showing a level of consistency that’s hard to ignore. They’ve won 8 of those 9, making them the team to beat in this competition right now. When you look at the history between these two, it’s a bit of a slaughter. The New Saints have won every single one of the last 10 meetings. That’s a perfect 100% win record against Llandudno. They don’t just beat them; they tend to make it look like a walk in the park. At home, they are even more formidable, boasting a 100% win rate over their last six home fixtures. They are essentially the kings of this venue. Now, let's talk about the graft in the backline. The Saints have been incredibly stingy lately, keeping 8 clean sheets out of their last 10 matches. That’s an 80% clean sheet rate, which is absolutely cracking. They’re only conceding about 0.30 goals per game on average. They’ve shown they can shut down even the bigger names, keeping the pressure off their own defense and allowing their attackers to do what they do best. On the other side of the pitch, Llandudno are having a bit of a nightmare on the road. They’ve lost 75% of their last four away games and are conceding an average of 2.00 goals every time they travel. While they can be capable at home, they often struggle to find that same spark when they're on the move. They’re facing a side that is currently in the form of their lives and has a history of making Llandudno look out of ideas. While the bookies have the Saints as heavy favorites to win, the real value lies in their defensive solidity. Given how often they keep the opposition quiet, I’m backing them to keep a clean sheet here. It’s a classic case of a dominant home side meeting a struggling away side. The Saints have the form, the history, and the defensive muscle to see this one out comfortably. Key Points: - The New Saints have a perfect 100% win record in all 10 head-to-head meetings against Llandudno. - The New Saints have maintained an impressive 80% clean sheet rate over their last 10 games. - Llandudno have struggled significantly on the road, losing 75% of their last four away fixtures. - The New Saints are currently top of the league with 25 points and a 90% win rate in their last 10 games. Recommended Bet: Both Teams to Score - No

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Team Form & Statistics

The New Saints
The New Saints
Form: W-W-W-W-W
Llandudno
Llandudno
Form: D-L-W-L-W
Record
9 W
1 D
0 L
•
6 W
1 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
2.5
Scored
vs
2.2
Scored
0.3
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
80%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
20%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.5
Away:2.5
Conceded
Home:0.2
Away:0.5
Scored
Home:2.7
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:0.7
Away:2.0

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
The New Saints versus Llandudno: long term ELO, before the match
The New SaintsHomeRatingLlandudnoAway
Strength
1,947.1Overall1,458.7
1,896.1Match venue1,417.3
1,896.1At home1,480.4
1,862Away1,417.3
Attack & defence
1,725.7Attack1,488.5
1,763Defence1,485.5
1,751.4Home attack1,482.2
1,698.5Away attack1,447.5
1,712.4Home defence1,501.1
1,754.7Away defence1,479.1
Match profile
2,843.3Goal environment1,625
2,318.3Home goals1,548.3
2,025Away goals1,576.7
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,750.2Close games1,390.8
1,994.3Winning margin1,478.7

Match venue compares The New Saints at home with Llandudno away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

Starting lineups

Lineups are not available for this match.