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Match analysis

Germany2. Bundesliga

VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this 2. Bundesliga fixture.

Match Timeline

38'
Niklas Hauptmann⚽
Normal Goal → Jonas Sterner
45'
Robin Meißner🟨
Yellow Card
45'
Fridolin Wagner🔄
Substitution 1 → Leon Maximilian Flach
61'
Patrick Kammerbauer🔄
Substitution 2 → Konrad Faber
61'
Jonathan Gómez🔄
Substitution 3 → Ismail Badjie
61'
Bernd Riesselmann🔄
Substitution 4 → Daniel-Kofi Kyereh
68'
Nicolai Rapp🟨
Yellow Card
69'
Vincent Vermeij🔄
Substitution 1 → Christoph Daferner
72'
Jonas Sterner🟨
Yellow Card
75'
Robin Fabinski🟨
Yellow Card
81'
Patrice Čović🟨
Yellow Card
82'
Simon Straudi🟨
Yellow Card
82'
Niklas Hauptmann🔄
Substitution 2 → Jakob Lemmer
82'
Bjarke Jacobsen🔄
Substitution 5 → Luca Raimund
84'
Konrad Faber🟨
Yellow Card
87'
Robin Fabinski⚽
Normal Goal → Niklas Wiemann
87'
Patrice Čović🔄
Substitution 3 → Kennedy Okpala
87'
Ben Bobzien🔄
Substitution 4 → Ahmet Muhamedbegovic
87'
Simon Straudi🔄
Substitution 5 → Alexander Rossipal
90+1'
Leon Maximilian Flach🟨
Yellow Card
90+1'
Adrian Beck🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

1.49expected_goals0.64
395Passes accurate519
10Shots insidebox4
3Shots outsidebox5
5Blocked Shots4
11Free Kicks6
5Shots on Goal2
1Goalkeeper Saves4
3Shots off Goal3
2Offsides1
483Total passes610
13Total Shots9
5Yellow Cards4
4Corner Kicks10
7Fouls11
0Red Cards0
44Ball Possession56

Tipster previews (5)

OracleLost

Osnabrück's Home Ground: A Quiet Edge Over Dresden

The pickVfL Osnabrück win

Chance
43%
Odds
2.67
Model EV
+14.8%

There are matches where the eye is tempted to follow the latest result, and matches where the wiser path is to look beneath the surface. VfL Osnabrück and Dynamo Dresden meet at the Osnabrück ground on 10 October in the 2. Bundesliga, and this is one of the latter. The market…

Yoda Mc Yoda Face

Osnabrück's Home Record Tells the Truer Story

The pickVfL Osnabrück win

Chance
43%
Odds
2.67
Model EV
+14.8%

The wise old one would say: "The past is a mirror, but the present is the blade." And so it is with VfL Osnabrück and Dynamo Dresden, two sides whose recent form has them stumbling, yet whose longer records at this fixture tell a different tale. VfL Osnabrück, at home, have a…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

VfL Osnabrück

4W 1D 5L1.30 pts/game

Dynamo Dresden

3W 1D 6L1.00 pts/game

Per game

VfL Osnabrück at home vs Dynamo Dresden away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within 2. Bundesliga

Overall edge
+31Dynamo Dresden
Venue edge
+17Dynamo Dresden
Rating period
Match snapshot
VfL Osnabrück versus Dynamo Dresden: long term Elo, before the match
VfL OsnabrückHomeRatingDynamo DresdenAway
Strength
1,430Overall1,461
1,397Match venue1,415
1,397At home1,466
1,453Away1,415
Attack & defence
1,418Attack1,491
1,445Defence1,494
1,394Home attack1,455
1,443Away attack1,466
1,446Home defence1,556
1,467Away defence1,431
Match profile
1,620Goal environment1,652
1,565Home goals1,552
1,555Away goals1,600
1,489Possession1,507
Specialist ratings
1,471Set-piece attack1,502
1,472Set-piece defence1,501
1,491Close games1,447
1,406Winning margin1,462

Match venue compares VfL Osnabrück at home with Dynamo Dresden away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

VfL OsnabrückVfL Osnabrück1:1

Starting XI

32J. KrumreyG
25N. WiemannD
42J. GómezM
11R. MeißnerF
24J. MüllerD
26F. WagnerM
22B. RiesselmannF
27R. FabinskiD
15B. JacobsenM
21A. BeckM
31P. KammerbauerM

Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden1:1

Starting XI

22L. GrillG
44S. StraudiD
21T. RaschlM
20B. BobzienM
9V. VermeijF
42F. MullerD
18R. WagnerM
27N. HauptmannM
6N. RappD
24P. ČovićM
32J. SternerD