Match analysis
WalesFAW Championship
Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this FAW Championship fixture.
The Big "O"The pickOver 2.5
Right, folks, gather round because The Big O has found himself a proper goal feast on the menu. Caerau (Ely) are about to host Llantwit Major in the FAW Championship, and if you've been watching Caerau's last five matches, you'll know this is the sort of game where the…
PajimonThe pickCaerau (Ely) win
Now look, I'm a man who enjoys his braai, his cold one, and a team that actually wins. And Caerau (Ely) have been doing exactly that. Five wins in a row, 15 goals scored, one goal conceded. That is not a coincidence, that is a team on a roll. At home, over 20 games, they've…
Mr CertaintyThe pickCaerau (Ely) win
Caerau (Ely) arrive at this FAW Championship fixture on the back of a remarkable run. Their last five matches have produced five wins, 15 goals scored and just one conceded, a stretch that includes a 6–0 demolition of llanelli AFC at home on 16 October and a 3–1 away victory…
Caerau (Ely) host Llantwit Major on Friday 23 October in an FAW Championship clash. On our Elo ratings Caerau (Ely) have the edge, 1578 to 1479 once home and away form is split out.
Caerau (Ely) come into this in good nick (W W W W W over their last five). They have won five on the bounce. With D D L W W from their last five, Llantwit Major are struggling for results. The wait for a win stretches to three games.
At home Caerau (Ely) score 3.0 a game and concede 1.4. Llantwit Major average 0.8 goals for and 2.7 against away from home. Goals look the angle: the two sides' numbers point to around 3.3 a game, and both teams have scored in 50% of games involving Caerau (Ely). Defensively Caerau (Ely) stand out: 50% of their games have ended with a clean sheet.
Our best-value bet here is Caerau (Ely) to win at odds of 1.27, from three tipster previews on this match. The tipsters do not agree, backing two different bets between them.
| Caerau (Ely)Home | Rating | Llantwit MajorAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,624 | Overall | 1,471 |
| 1,578 | Match venue | 1,479 |
| 1,578 | At home | 1,514 |
| 1,523 | Away | 1,479 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,616 | Attack | 1,468 |
| 1,562 | Defence | 1,489 |
| 1,573 | Home attack | 1,457 |
| 1,573 | Away attack | 1,484 |
| 1,561 | Home defence | 1,551 |
| 1,514 | Away defence | 1,482 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,873 | Goal environment | 1,825 |
| 1,652 | Home goals | 1,577 |
| 1,722 | Away goals | 1,748 |
| 1,500 | Possession | 1,500 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,500 | Set-piece attack | 1,500 |
| 1,500 | Set-piece defence | 1,500 |
| 1,486 | Close games | 1,503 |
| 1,657 | Winning margin | 1,444 |
Match venue compares Caerau (Ely) at home with Llantwit Major away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.
Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.
Lineups are not available yet. They are usually confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.
In eight meetings since October 2019, Caerau (Ely) have won three, Llantwit Major have taken two and three were drawn. Every tip we publish on the two sides together sits on our Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major prediction page.
