Mon, 31 Aug 2026, 14:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

60'
L. Derrick
Normal Goal
63'
G. Alexander
Normal Goal

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Weston-super-Mare
Weston-super-Mare
Form: W-L-D-W-W
Chelmsford City
Chelmsford City
Form: W-D-D-D-D
Record
4 W
2 D
4 L
3 W
6 D
1 L
Goals Per Game
1.6
Scored
vs
1.2
Scored
0.9
Conceded
vs
0.9
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
50%
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS
30%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.5
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:0.3
Scored
Home:0.5
Away:1.7
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1566
Average
1557
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1570
↑ Momentum (+5)
1559
↑ Momentum (+1)
Expected Outcome
34%
Home Win
34%
Draw
32%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1509
Attack
1469
1603
Defence
1569
Recent Form
1513
Attack
1462
1621
Defence
1587
Post-Match Changes
0
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Chelmsford City's Away Resilience Meets Weston's Home Woes
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.62
Expected Value:+4.8%
Confidence:6

In this National League - South clash, the league table might suggest a mismatch, but the underlying data paints a much more compelling story for the 'little puppies.' Weston-super-Mare enters this fixture in 2nd place with 10 points, yet their home form has been a significant point of concern. Over their last six home games, they have suffered a 66.67% loss rate, struggling to turn their home turf into a fortress. While they recently secured a 3-1 win over Hemel Hempstead Town, their previous home outing saw them fall 2-3 to Dover, highlighting a lack of consistency when defending their own ground. Chelmsford City, currently sitting in 14th place, are the definition of the underdog. However, they have been remarkably difficult to beat on the road. In their last six away fixtures, they have remained completely undefeated, securing a mix of draws and narrow victories. They are specialists in the stalemate, having recorded four draws in their last five matches, but they also possess the clinical edge to win when the opportunity arises, as seen in their recent 1-0 victory over Maidenhead. When we look at the head-to-head history, the visitors have the upper hand in the most recent encounter, securing a 1-0 win. Furthermore, the mathematical trends are telling: Weston-super-Mare's points trend is currently declining, while Chelmsford City's points trend is on the rise. With Weston struggling at home and Chelmsford showing such incredible resilience away from home, there is a massive opportunity to back the underdog here. The market odds of 2.62 for an away victory offer fantastic value for a side that simply refuses to lose on the road. Key Points: - Weston-super-Mare has a poor home record, losing 66.67% of their last 6 home games. - Chelmsford City is undefeated in their last 6 away matches, showing immense road resilience. - Chelmsford City won the most recent head-to-head meeting 1-0. - Chelmsford's points trend is improving, while Weston-super-Mare's is declining. - Chelmsford City has drawn 4 of their last 5 matches, making them very hard to beat. We are backing the resilient little puppies to cause an upset today.

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