Mon, 7 Sept 2026, 18:30
Serie B
Italy
Italy
Full Time
3:1
HT: 2 - 0

Match Timeline

9'
Gabriel Strefezza
Normal Goal → Tommaso Augello
18'
Liam Henderson🟨
Yellow Card
18'
Lorenzo Insigne🟨
Yellow Card
21'
Gabriel Strefezza🔄
Substitution 1 → Dominic Vavassori
33'
Joel Pohjanpalo
Normal Goal
45'
Hernani🔄
Substitution 2 → Antonio Palumbo
47'
Mattia Bani🟨
Yellow Card
53'
Danel Sinani🔄
Substitution 1 → Tjas Begic
63'
Lorenzo Insigne
Normal Goal
65'
Niccolo Pierozzi🔄
Substitution 3 → Tommaso Cassandro
65'
Filippo·Ranocchia🔄
Substitution 4 → Nahuel Estévez
70'
Lorenzo Insigne🔄
Substitution 2 → Oliver Abildgaard
83'
Yari Verschaeren🔄
Substitution 3 → Lorenzo Mezzotero
84'
Joel Pohjanpalo🔄
Substitution 5 → Alessandro Gabrielloni
90+2'
Antonio Palumbo🟨
Yellow Card
90+4'
Antonio Palumbo
Normal Goal → Dennis Johnsen
90+6'
Manuel Cicconi🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

333Passes accurate404
10Shots insidebox9
4Shots outsidebox5
3Blocked Shots0
10Free Kicks13
6Shots on Goal5
4Goalkeeper Saves3
5Shots off Goal9
1Offsides2
423Total passes489
14Total Shots14
2Yellow Cards3
2Corner Kicks5
14Fouls10
0Red Cards0
46Ball Possession54

Starting Lineups

PalermoPalermo1:1

Starting XI

1M. PerinG
3T. AugelloD
23HernaniM
17D. JohnsenF
32P. CeccaroniD
10F. RanocchiaM
20J. PohjanpaloF
13M. BaniD
8J. SegreM
7Gabriel StrefezzaF
27N. PierozziD

SampdoriaSampdoria1:1

Starting XI

1P. VindahlG
7M. CicconiD
6L. HendersonM
10L. InsigneF
15F. Delli CarriD
16Y. VerschaerenM
99G. TutinoF
3S. GartenmannD
45A. MakoumbouM
20D. SinaniF
29A. Di PardoD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Palermo
Palermo
Form: W-W-W-W-L
Sampdoria
Sampdoria
Form: L-D-L-W-L
Record
6 W
2 D
2 L
3 W
3 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
2.3
Scored
vs
0.8
Scored
1.0
Conceded
vs
0.8
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:3.0
Away:1.3
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.3
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:0.6
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:0.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1652
Good
1522
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1747
↑ Momentum (+95)
1540
↑ Momentum (+18)
Expected Outcome
49%
Home Win
28%
Draw
23%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1564
Attack
1417
1593
Defence
1544
Recent Form
1607
Attack
1410
1607
Defence
1544
Post-Match Changes
+6
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

The Wisdom of the Home Fortress
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.85
Expected Value:+22.1%
Confidence:8

In the long tapestry of football, there are moments where the threads of destiny align with startling clarity. As I peer through the mists of time and observation, the upcoming clash between Palermo and Sampdoria reveals itself as a study in contrasting spirits. One side rises with the morning sun, while the other lingers in the shadows of a difficult journey. Palermo has carved a sanctuary for themselves within these grounds. They do not merely play; they command. To occupy the third position in the standings so early in the campaign is no small feat, but it is their home performance that speaks of a deeper truth. They average a staggering three goals per game at their own venue—a number that resonates with the echoes of a powerhouse. Their recent demolition of Mantova was not a mere anomaly; it was a manifestation of an offensive hunger that seeks to overwhelm any who dare stand against them. They possess a finishing delta that suggests they are finding the net with a precision that transcends simple statistics. Conversely, Sampdoria wanders like a weary traveler who has lost their way. Rooted in 17th place, their journey has been marred by a lack of identity and a failure to find the back of the net on the road. When a team averages a mere 0.60 goals per game away from home, it tells a story of stifled creativity and a lack of clinical edge. They are struggling to impose their will, and the weight of their current standing looms over them like a heavy fog. While history may suggest a tendency toward draws, the current momentum is a river flowing strongly in one direction. The numbers provide a profound clarity: a goal expectancy of 1.90 for the hosts against a meager 0.72 for the visitors. When the fire of home dominance meets a side struggling for its very soul, the outcome becomes a matter of inevitable progression. Palermo is playing with a purpose that Sampdoria simply cannot match. They are the masters of this domain, and the path of victory lies before them. Key Points: - Palermo sits in 3rd place with a perfect start to the season. - The hosts average a remarkable 3.00 goals per game at home. - Sampdoria is currently in 17th place, struggling for consistency. - Sampdoria's away scoring is anemic, averaging only 0.60 goals per game. - Palermo's goal expectancy (1.90) significantly outweighs Sampdoria's (0.72). The wisdom of the game points toward a Home Win.

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📝 Match Preview

Palermo vs Sampdoria: The Force of Home Dominance
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.85
Expected Value:+14.7%
Confidence:7

A path of victory, Palermo seems to walk. In the early days of this Serie B campaign, the home side has shown great strength, securing a position in the top three. Two wins from two games, they have claimed, and at home, their fire burns even brighter. A scoring average of 3.00 goals per game at their own venue is a number to behold. The Force of their offensive output is clear, bolstered by a finishing delta of +0.70, showing they find the net more often than the math suggests they should. Their recent 5-2 victory over Mantova in the Coppa Italia serves as a testament to this high-octane attacking intent and their ability to overwhelm opponents. Opposite them, Sampdoria wanders in the shadows. In 17th place, their journey has been difficult. Away from home, their ability to find the back of the net is stifled, averaging a mere 0.60 goals per game. While they have shown glimpses of defensive solidity, their overall trend is one of decline. They struggle to impose their will, and their finishing delta of -0.14 suggests a lack of clinical edge in the final third. They have failed to secure wins in their opening matches, and the weight of their 17th-place standing looms large over their prospects in this fixture. The history between these two is clouded by many draws, with six draws in their last ten meetings. However, the current momentum favors the hosts. When the home side plays with such purpose, and the visitors struggle to find their footing, the outcome becomes clearer. The goal expectancy for this match sits at 1.90 for Palermo and a mere 0.72 for Sampdoria, reflecting the disparity in their current shapes. While one must always be wary of the draw, the disparity in current form and venue performance is too great to ignore. To bet is to trust in the path of least resistance. Palermo, fueled by home momentum and superior scoring trends, stands ready to overcome the struggling Sampdoria. Do or do not bet, there is no try... but on the home side, the path is clear. Key Points: - Palermo sits 3rd in the table with 2 wins from 2 games. - Sampdoria languishes in 17th place with only 1 point. - Palermo's home scoring average is a formidable 3.00 goals per game. - Sampdoria's away scoring is severely limited at 0.60 goals per game. - Palermo shows a positive finishing delta (+0.70) compared to Sampdoria's negative delta (-0.14). Palermo Win

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📝 Match Preview

Palermo vs Sampdoria: A Home Feast
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.85
Expected Value:+48.0%
Confidence:85

Listen up, my friends! If you’re looking for a proper feast, you’ve come to the right place. We aren't dealing with any of that bland, tasteless vegetable stuff today—we’re looking for the meat, the sizzle, and the win! Palermo is stepping up to the grill at home, and they look absolutely primed to cook Sampdoria for dinner. Palermo is currently sitting pretty in 3rd place, having started their Serie B campaign with a perfect record. They are playing with a lot of confidence, showing a 60% win rate over their last 10 games. When they are at home, they become a real powerhouse, boasting a 66.67% win rate in their last six home fixtures. Even better? They are averaging a massive 3.00 goals per game on their home turf. They just showed their teeth in a recent clash, putting five goals past Mantova. That’s the kind of offensive firepower we love to see—it’s like a perfectly seasoned rib, juicy and ready to go. Now, let’s look at Sampdoria. To be honest, they’re looking a bit like a side of lean chicken—not much meat on the bones and definitely lacking the flavor. They are languishing in 17th place, having managed only a single point from their opening two matches. Their away form is particularly disappointing, with a win rate of just 20% over their last five road trips. They are struggling to find the back of the net, averaging a measly 0.60 goals per game away from home. They recently dropped a 1-2 loss to Juve Stabia in Serie B, and they look like a team searching for an identity. The numbers tell a clear story. Palermo is on a hot streak with improving goal trends and a declining goals-conceded trend. Meanwhile, Sampdoria’s points trend is sliding downward, and their scoring is declining. While the head-to-head record shows some history of draws, the current momentum is heavily skewed toward the home side. Palermo’s home goal expectancy of 1.90 against Sampdoria’s 0.72 away expectancy suggests a one-sided affair in terms of production. We’re looking for value, and at 1.85, the odds on a Palermo victory are looking like a steal. They have the home advantage, the superior form, and the hunger to climb even higher in the standings. Sampdoria is looking for answers, but Palermo is ready to provide the main course. Key Points: - Palermo is in 3rd place with a perfect start to the season. - Palermo averages 3.00 goals per game at home. - Sampdoria is in 17th place and struggles significantly on the road. - Sampdoria averages only 0.60 goals per game in away fixtures. - Palermo’s recent form shows a strong upward trend in both points and scoring. The smart money is on Palermo to take this one at home.

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📝 Match Preview

Palermo Powerhouse vs. Struggling Sampdoria
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.85
Expected Value:+22.1%
Confidence:8

The gap between the top and bottom of the Serie B table is often bridged by home-field advantage, but in this fixture, the disparity looks cavernous. Palermo enters this match in scintillating form, currently sitting in 3rd place with a perfect start to the campaign. Their offensive output at home is nothing short of clinical, averaging a staggering 3.00 goals per game. They aren't just winning; they are dominating their territory, boasting a 66.67% win rate across their last six home fixtures. On the opposite end of the spectrum, Sampdoria is struggling to find any rhythm. Currently rooted in 17th place, they have failed to secure a single victory in their opening two matches. Their away form is particularly anaemic, where they have managed to find the net only 0.60 times per game. When you pit a team averaging 3.00 goals at home against a side that struggles to produce even one per game on the road, the statistical mismatch becomes the defining narrative of the match. From a value perspective, the bookmakers have priced the home win at 1.85. While many might see this as a standard price for a favorite, the underlying data suggests a significant edge. Palermo's 66.67% home win rate implies a much higher probability of success than the 54.1% implied by the 1.85 odds. When you combine this with Sampdoria's dismal 20% away win rate and Palermo's superior goal expectancy (1.90 vs 0.72), the math points toward a high-value opportunity for the hosts. While the head-to-head record shows a history of draws, the current season's momentum is the primary driver here. Palermo is playing with a confidence that Sampdoria simply cannot match. We are looking for a comfortable home victory as the hosts exploit a defense that has struggled to contain high-octane attacks. Key Points: - Palermo is in 3rd place with a 100% win rate this season (2 wins from 2). - Sampdoria is in 17th place with a 0% win rate this season. - Palermo averages 3.00 goals per game at home, while Sampdoria averages only 0.60 away. - Palermo's home win rate is 66.67%, providing a significant edge over the 1.85 odds. - Goal expectancy favors Palermo significantly at 1.90 to 0.72. Bet: Palermo Win

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📝 Match Preview

Palermo vs Sampdoria: Home Fortress vs Away Woes
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.85
Expected Value:+20.3%
Confidence:8

Right, listen up! If you’re looking for a side that’s currently on fire, you need to be looking at Palermo. These lads are flying high in Serie B, sitting pretty in the top three after starting the season with two wins from two. They aren't just winning; they're putting goals past their opponents like they're practicing in the backyard. They’ve shown some real teeth recently, coming off a massive 5-2 win against Mantova in the Coppa Italia and a clinical 3-2 victory over Arezzo in the league. When Palermo play at home, they turn into a proper goal-scoring machine. They’re averaging a whopping 3.00 goals per match at their own ground, and their defensive record at home is just as tidy, conceding less than one goal per game. They’re confident, they’re sharp, and they’re playing with a lot of graft. The momentum is clearly with them as they look to establish themselves at the top of the table. On the other side of the pitch, we’ve got Sampdoria. And let me tell ya, they’re having a bit of a rough trot. They’re currently sitting way down in 17th place, and their away form is looking a bit grim—they’ve managed to secure a win on the road just 20% of the time. They struggle to find the back of the net away from home, averaging a measly 0.60 goals per game. They’re going to be facing a side that’s much hungrier and far more clinical. The numbers tell the story too. Palermo is trending upwards in every department—goals scored are up, goals conceded are down, and points are mounting. Sampdoria is heading in the opposite direction, with their points and goal trends heading south. While the head-to-head has seen some high-scoring draws in the past, the current form suggests Palermo will be the ones dictating the pace. At 1.85, getting a win for the home side feels like a proper bit of value. They’re the better side, they’re at home, and they’re looking to keep that winning streak rolling. Key Points: - Palermo are in the top 3 with a 100% win rate from 2 games. - Palermo average a massive 3.00 goals per game at home. - Sampdoria are struggling in 17th place and have a poor 20% away win rate. - Sampdoria average only 0.60 goals per game on the road. - Palermo's recent form is excellent, including a 5-2 win in the Coppa Italia. Bet: Palermo Win

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