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Match analysis

ItalySerie B

Avellino vs Sampdoria

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie B fixture.

Full time4:1HT 4–1

Match Timeline

12'
Walid Cheddira⚽
Normal Goal → Brando Moruzzi
18'
Lorenzo Insigne⚽
Normal Goal → Tobias Lauritsen
20'
Martin Palumbo⚽
Normal Goal → Raffaele Russo
24'
Raffaele Russo⚽
Normal Goal → Brando Moruzzi
29'
Michele Besaggio⚽
Normal Goal
45'
Yann Karamoh🔄
Substitution 1 → Alex Ferrari
59'
Walid Cheddira🔄
Substitution 1 → Andrea Favilli
59'
Luca Palmiero🔄
Substitution 2 → Giacomo Faticanti
61'
Yari Verschaeren🔄
Substitution 2 → Gennaro Tutino
68'
Tobias Lauritsen🔄
Substitution 3 → Tjas Begic
68'
Liam Henderson🔄
Substitution 4 → Fabio Depaoli
71'
Michael Venturi🟨
Yellow Card
76'
Martin Palumbo🔄
Substitution 3 → Dimitrios Sounas
76'
Raffaele Russo🔄
Substitution 4 → Tommaso Biasci
77'
Alex Ferrari🟨
Yellow Card
79'
Tommaso Biasci⚽
Goal cancelled
81'
Andrea Favilli🟨
Yellow Card
85'
Brando Moruzzi🔄
Substitution 5 → Marco Sala
90+1'
Armando Izzo🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
Michele Besaggio🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

2.33expected_goals0.67
411Passes accurate390
8Shots insidebox7
1Shots outsidebox5
1Blocked Shots4
12Free Kicks10
4Shots on Goal3
2Goalkeeper Saves0
4Shots off Goal5
3Offsides1
484Total passes460
9Total Shots12
4Yellow Cards1
0Corner Kicks6
11Fouls12
0Red Cards0
51Ball Possession49

Tipster previews (6)

Pajimon

Avellino Host Sampdoria in Serie B Clash

The pickAvellino win

Chance
45%
Odds
2.85
Model EV
+28.2%

Right, so we've got Avellino at home against Sampdoria in Serie B, and if you've been following the numbers, this one's got a clear shape to it. Let me lay it out for you, mate. Avellino at home is where the magic happens. Over their last 20 home games, they've picked up 9 wins…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Avellino

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Sampdoria

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Per game

Avellino at home vs Sampdoria away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie B

Overall edge
+19Avellino
Venue edge
+106Avellino
Rating period
Match snapshot
Avellino versus Sampdoria: long term Elo, before the match
AvellinoHomeRatingSampdoriaAway
Strength
1,495Overall1,475
1,538Match venue1,432
1,538At home1,533
1,422Away1,432
Attack & defence
1,440Attack1,395
1,519Defence1,530
1,480Home attack1,425
1,388Away attack1,407
1,538Home defence1,566
1,476Away defence1,501
Match profile
1,487Goal environment1,450
1,503Home goals1,427
1,483Away goals1,523
1,497Possession1,505
Specialist ratings
1,465Set-piece attack1,530
1,465Set-piece defence1,529
1,518Close games1,544
1,492Winning margin1,456

Match venue compares Avellino at home with Sampdoria away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

AvellinoAvellino1:1

Starting XI

50T. MartinelliG
56P. EnriciD
27B. MoruzziM
9W. CheddiraF
23M. VenturiD
39M. BesaggioM
10R. RussoF
4A. IzzoD
6L. PalmieroM
20M. PalumboM
2F. MissoriM

SampdoriaSampdoria1:1

Starting XI

1P. VindahlG
7M. CicconiD
16Y. VerschaerenM
10L. InsigneM
9T. LauritsenF
15F. Delli CarriD
45A. MakoumbouM
14Yann KaramohM
3S. GartenmannD
6L. HendersonM
29A. Di PardoD