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Right then, let’s get straight to it. Toyama are sitting pretty in 7th, fresh off a 4-0 thrashing of Blaublitz Akita. At home, they’re a proper handful: a 50% win rate and a 50% draw rate in their last four, while only letting in 0.75 goals per game. Their attack is clicking, chipping in 1.50 goals per home game with an improving trend. Imabari, meanwhile, are bottom of the table with zero points from two games. Their last 10 show a dismal 20% win rate, and defensively they’re leaking like a sieve. They concede 1.60 goals per game overall and 1.40 on the road, with a tiny 10% clean sheet rate. Their defensive trend is actively declining, which spells trouble against a Toyama side that’s finding the net with real consistency. Now, here’s the curveball: historically, Toyama have never won at home against Imabari in five tries (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). But let’s not get hung up on the result when the numbers point elsewhere. Imabari have seen both teams score in 90% of their last 10 matches. They’re scoring 1.20 goals per game away from home, and Toyama’s attack is improving. The head-to-head also shows both teams netting in 70% of their meetings. The expected goal environment sits around 2.42, which perfectly sets up a back-and-forth affair. The odds for Both Teams to Score - Yes sit at 1.76. With Imabari’s leaky backline and Toyama’s fresh confidence, the math backs this up nicely. We’re looking at a solid edge here, far safer than chasing a home win against a stubborn historical record. Sometimes the best play is the one that sticks to the graft and the goals. Key Points: - Toyama unbeaten in 4 at home, scoring 1.50 per game. - Imabari bottom of the table, conceding 1.40 away and 1.60 overall. - Imabari have BTTS in 90% of their last 10 matches. - H2H shows BTTS in 70% of meetings. - Value lies in the goals market at 1.76. My tip: Both Teams to Score - Yes.