Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 13:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

17'
D. Zagnoni🟨
Yellow Card
26'
M. Montipo
Normal Goal → L. Morosini
30'
E. Anastasia🟨
Yellow Card
46'
G. Vaglica🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Nesi
46'
E. Anastasia🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Antonucci
46'
M. Gobbato🔄
Substitution 2 → F. Amatucci
57'
A. Astrologo🟨
Yellow Card
63'
L. Morosini🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Forapani
64'
A. Astrologo🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Carcani
64'
L. Paolucci
Normal Goal → D. Falcinelli
67'
F. Casarini🔄
Substitution 4 → N. Bagatti
71'
D. Falcinelli🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Mensah
72'
J. Ekuban🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Fabbro
81'
A. Barberis🔄
Substitution 5 → G. Frisenna
86'
M. Antonucci
Normal Goal
88'
M. Montipo🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Sall
90+3'
R. Musso🟨
Yellow Card

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Athletic Carpi
Athletic Carpi
Form: W-D-D-L-W
Cittadella
Cittadella
Form: W-W-W-W-D
Record
5 W
2 D
3 L
6 W
3 D
1 L
Goals Per Game
1.5
Scored
vs
1.5
Scored
1.5
Conceded
vs
0.8
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:1.6
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:0.5

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Athletic Carpi versus Cittadella: long term ELO, before the match
Athletic CarpiHomeRatingCittadellaAway
Strength
1,507.7Overall1,578.6
1,499Match venue1,532.8
1,499At home1,541
1,503.3Away1,532.8
Attack & defence
1,513.9Attack1,497.1
1,484.5Defence1,548.5
1,516.2Home attack1,506.3
1,496.1Away attack1,470.3
1,482.4Home defence1,516.8
1,501.3Away defence1,555.1
Match profile
1,511.7Goal environment1,471.7
1,511.7Home goals1,498.3
1,500Away goals1,473.3
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,517.6Close games1,584.1
1,505.1Winning margin1,578.1

Match venue compares Athletic Carpi at home with Cittadella away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Cittadella's Dominance vs Carpi's Struggle
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.97
Expected Value:+18.2%
Confidence:7

Listen up, folks! We’re looking at a clash in Serie C where the meat is on the table, and I’m here to make sure we don’t leave any on the grill. We’ve got Athletic Carpi facing off against the league leaders, Cittadella, and honestly, the contrast in form is like a prime rib versus a side of celery—and you know I don't do vegetables! Cittadella is absolutely crushing it right now. They’re sitting pretty at the top of the table with a perfect record: 3 wins from 3 games. They aren't just winning; they're doing it while keeping their defense locked down like a vault, conceding only 0.80 goals per game on average. When you see a team that disciplined, you know they aren't going to let anything slide. Their away form is also solid, remaining undefeated in their last 4 away outings with a 50% win rate and a very tight defensive structure. On the other side, Athletic Carpi is struggling to find their rhythm. They’re currently tucked away in 8th place with a win rate of only 50% over their last 10 matches. While they can put some goals past the opposition at home (averaging 1.80), they just don't have the consistency to match the powerhouse coming into their territory. Carpi’s points trend is sliding, while Cittadella is on a steady upward trajectory with an improving goals scored trend. The bookies are giving us a price of 1.97 for an Away Win. Given that Cittadella has won 60% of their last 10 and has a massive defensive edge, this represents some serious value. We’re looking for a dominant performance from the leaders who know how to grind out results. It's time to back the winners and keep the winning streak alive. Key Points: - Cittadella is currently 1st in the league with a perfect 3-0-0 record. - Cittadella has a superior defensive record, conceding only 0.80 goals per game. - Athletic Carpi is in 8th place with a declining points trend. - Cittadella has been undefeated in their last 4 away matches. - The Away Win at 1.97 offers a significant edge based on Cittadella's current form and defensive stability. Bet: Away Win

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