Match analysis
ItalySerie C - Girone A
Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie C - Girone A fixture.
N. Ronchi🟨M. Bertoli⚽
M. Figoli🟨G. Vaglica🔄A. Burruano🟨L. Coccolo⚽M. Montipo🔄M. Forapani🔄M. Pagliari🟨N. Ronchi🔄M. Pagliari🔄A. Carosso🟨V. Vitale🔄PRO Vercelli got the job done on Saturday 3 October, winning 2-0 at home to Athletic Carpi (Serie C - Girone A). PRO Vercelli led 1-0 at the break and saw it out.
M. Bertoli (16') and L. Coccolo (65') got on the scoresheet for PRO Vercelli.
Our tip landed, with under 2.5 goals coming in.
| PRO VercelliHome | Rating | Athletic CarpiAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,440 | Overall | 1,484 |
| 1,520 | Match venue | 1,504 |
| 1,520 | At home | 1,475 |
| 1,386 | Away | 1,504 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,415 | Attack | 1,512 |
| 1,484 | Defence | 1,457 |
| 1,424 | Home attack | 1,505 |
| 1,413 | Away attack | 1,504 |
| 1,560 | Home defence | 1,456 |
| 1,440 | Away defence | 1,495 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,237 | Goal environment | 1,525 |
| 1,297 | Home goals | 1,520 |
| 1,440 | Away goals | 1,505 |
| 1,500 | Possession | 1,500 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,500 | Set-piece attack | 1,500 |
| 1,500 | Set-piece defence | 1,500 |
| 1,496 | Close games | 1,504 |
| 1,423 | Winning margin | 1,476 |
Match venue compares PRO Vercelli at home with Athletic Carpi away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.
Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.
Lineups are not available yet. They are usually confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.
Value VinnyWonThe pickUnder 2.5
The bookies priced this one like a shootout. They're offering Under 2.5 at 1.81, which implies a 55.25% chance, but their own fair probability sits at just 52.49%. That's a 2.76% margin baked in. But here's where it gets interesting — when you run the Poisson model on the actual…
The head-to-head covers two games since September 2026, and PRO Vercelli have won one and one was drawn. Every tip we publish on the two sides together sits on our PRO Vercelli vs Athletic Carpi prediction page.
