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Match analysis

EgyptPremier League

El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time1:1HT 1–0

Match Timeline

3'
Dokou Dodo🟨
Yellow Card
39'
I. Gaber
Penalty
46'
D. Dodo🔄
Substitution 1 → I. Adel
49'
A. El Gazar🔄
Substitution 1 → H. Reyad
58'
Zizo
Penalty
59'
A. Bencharki🔄
Substitution 2 → E. Ashour
59'
A. Mahmoud🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Reda
70'
Zizo🟨
Yellow Card
75'
I. Thiam🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Hussein
75'
O. Kamal🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Sandouqa
82'
Kahraba🔄
Substitution 4 → H. Shakoush
84'
M. Bakrar🔄
Substitution 4 → H. El Shahat
84'
S. Benjdida🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Abdallah
85'
J. Ochaya🔄
Substitution 5 → N. Hesham

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal7
7Total Shots10
1Blocked Shots1
3Shots insidebox5
4Shots outsidebox5
16Fouls11
1Corner Kicks9
3Offsides3
40Ball Possession60
1Yellow Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves1
281Total passes416
177Passes accurate323
63Passes %78
1.14expected_goals1.29
0.01goals_prevented0.01

Tipster previews (2)

Mr SimpleLost

El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly: The Giants vs The Underdogs

The pickAl Ahly win

Chance
85%
Odds
1.42
Model EV
+20.7%

Right then, let’s have a proper look at this one. We’ve got El Mokawloon hosting Al Ahly in the Premier League, and if you’re looking at the table, the gap between these two is looking like a bit of a canyon. It’s the heavyweights against the strugglers, and the script seems…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

El Mokawloon

3W 5D 2L1.40 pts/game

Al Ahly

7W 1D 2L2.20 pts/game

Per game

El Mokawloon at home vs Al Ahly away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+308Al Ahly
Venue edge
+274Al Ahly
Rating period
Match snapshot
El Mokawloon versus Al Ahly: long term Elo, before the match
El MokawloonHomeRatingAl AhlyAway
Strength
1,523Overall1,831
1,483Match venue1,756
1,483At home1,849
1,499Away1,756
Attack & defence
1,459Attack1,660
1,561Defence1,669
1,447Home attack1,684
1,436Away attack1,602
1,551Home defence1,689
1,551Away defence1,666
Match profile
1,265Goal environment1,495
1,333Home goals1,610
1,432Away goals1,385
1,467Possession1,545
Specialist ratings
1,478Set-piece attack1,569
1,479Set-piece defence1,568
1,501Close games1,720
1,529Winning margin1,863

Match venue compares El Mokawloon at home with Al Ahly away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

El MokawloonEl Mokawloon1:1

Starting XI

18M. FawziG
23J. OchayaD
6D. DodoM
29O. KamalM
92I. ThiamF
3M. HamedD
14M. GamalM
20I. GaberM
27K. Abdelfattah2:3
12O. El WahshM
26KahrabaD

Al AhlyAl Ahly1:1

Starting XI

1M. El ShenawyG
36A. KoukaD
21A. MahmoudM
17A. BencharkiM
9S. BenjdidaF
26A. El GazarD
13M. AteyaM
25ZizoM
6Y. IbrahimD
10M. BakrarM
30M. HanyD