Gillingham vs Crawley Town Prediction

Battle of the Strugglers at Priestfield

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one! Two teams who've been struggling more than me trying to explain what a vegetable is. Gillingham sitting pretty in 7th with 25 points, but don't let that fool you - their recent form has been shocker! Only 2 wins in their last 10 games and they haven't won any of their last 4 home matches. That's not what you call home advantage, boet!

Crawley Town are even worse off, languishing in 19th with just 15 points. Their away form is absolutely shocking - 0% win rate in their last 5 away games and only managing to score 0.40 goals per game on their travels. They're leaking goals like a sieve too, conceding 2.60 per game away from home. That's just not good enough for this level!

Looking at recent results, Gillingham did manage a decent 1-0 win at Bristol Rovers, but then got hammered 0-3 by Wycombe in the EFL Trophy. Their home form is worrying though - losing 1-2 to Salford City and 0-1 to Harrogate Town at Priestfield. They're only scoring 0.50 goals per game at home, which is pathetic!

Crawley haven't been much better. They did beat Fleetwood 2-1 and hammered Bristol Rovers 4-0 (same team Gillingham beat 1-0, interesting!), but then got stuffed 3-0 by Boreham Wood and lost 1-2 to Peterborough. Their away form is the real concern though - getting beaten 1-0 at Shrewsbury and 3-1 at Cambridge United.

The head-to-head does favor Gillingham though - they've won 6 out of 9 meetings and have a 75% home win rate against Crawley. But current form counts for more, and both these teams are struggling badly.

Both teams are scoring and conceding regularly - 60% both teams to score in recent matches for both sides. But given how poor both attacks have been, especially Gillingham at home and Crawley away, I'm leaning towards a low-scoring affair.

The stats paint a picture of two teams who can't buy a win at the moment. Gillingham's home form is non-existent, Crawley's away form is even worse. Something's got to give, but I'm not expecting a classic here!

Match time
Recommended Bet
UNDER 2 5
Odds
1.90
+EV
+4.5%
Estimated Chance55%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN