Leicester vs QPR Prediction

Howzit my chinas! Grab a cold one and pull up a chair by the braai because we've got a lekker Championship clash coming up this Saturday. Leicester City are hosting QPR, and if you love goals and drama like I love my steak (rare, obviously - vegetables are for the birds), then this one might just be worth a punt.

Now, let's talk about the Foxes. They've been struggling worse than a Springbok without a game plan this season, sitting down in 21st spot with only 38 points. But eish, boet, did you see their last game? A proper 2-0 win against Bristol City! That's their first win in ten matches, and suddenly the braai coals are looking hot again. Before that, they managed draws against promotion-chasing Ipswich (1-1) and Middlesbrough (1-1), so they're not rolling over anymore. With four days rest compared to QPR's three, and playing at home where they've historically dominated this fixture, the Foxes are smelling blood.

Speaking of blood, QPR are currently bleeding goals like a boerewors that's been pricked too many times. Four losses on the trot, my bru! And not just losses - we're talking 0-1, 0-4, 0-2, and a proper hiding of 0-5 against Southampton. They've conceded 12 goals in their last four games without scoring a single one. That's about as useful as a chocolate teapot. Sure, they had a flash of brilliance beating Hull away 3-1 and Coventry 2-1 at home earlier in the year, but that form is further behind us than last year's Rugby World Cup.

The head-to-head makes for beautiful reading if you're a Leicester fan - 75% win rate at home against these guys. The last time they met, QPR won 4-1, but that was at Loftus Road. At the King Power, Leicester have QPR's number.

Key Points:

• Leicester ended a nine-game winless run with a 2-0 victory over Bristol City last time out

• QPR have lost four consecutive matches, conceding 12 goals and scoring 0 in that stretch

• Leicester have four days rest versus QPR's three days, giving them a physical edge

• Historical dominance: Leicester have won 75% of home fixtures against QPR

• Leicester's goals conceded trend is improving (slope -0.20) while QPR's attack is declining

Summary:

Listen, I'm not saying put your house on it, but at 2.15 for a home win, there's value to be found here. Leicester are trending upward with that crucial win and solid draws against top sides, while QPR are defending like they've had one too many at the braai. The Foxes to get the three points is the play here. Sharp!