Granada CF vs Zaragoza Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this basement battle between two sides who're having a right old time of it at the wrong end of the table. Granada might be bottom of the pile, but they've actually been half-decent recently with three wins and five draws from their last ten. The problem is, they can't score for toffee at home - just 1.25 goals per game on their own patch.

Zaragoza, bless 'em, are in an even worse state. Rock bottom of the league with just six points, and their attack is absolutely shocking. We're talking 0.5 goals per game shocking! Have a look at their recent league games: 0-2, 0-1, 0-5, 0-2. They couldn't hit a barn door with a banjo at the moment.

What's interesting is that Granada have been quite solid defensively lately, keeping four clean sheets in their last ten. They've had more 0-0 draws than I've had hot dinners recently - four of them in fact, including against decent sides like Cadiz and Las Palmas.

The head-to-head record gives Granada a bit of hope though - they've won three out of four at home against Zaragoza. But the last two meetings between these two both ended 2-2, so there's some goals in this fixture historically.

Looking at the stats, both teams are averaging around a goal scored and conceded per game in their respective home/away splits. Granada are averaging 1.25 at home, Zaragoza 0.80 away. Neither exactly sets the world alight, does it?

Given Zaragoza's complete inability to score and Granada's tendency for low-scoring draws, I'm expecting a proper cagey affair here. Neither side can afford to lose, which usually means nobody wants to take risks. The bookies have got Under 2.5 at 1.62, and that looks about right to me - maybe even a bit generous considering how these two are playing.

Key Points:

• Zaragoza have scored just 5 goals in 10 games (0.5 per game)

• Granada have kept 4 clean sheets in last 10 games

• Four of Granada's last 10 games have ended 0-0

n- Zaragoza have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 league games

• Granada have won 75% of home meetings against Zaragoza

This has all the makings of a proper snoozefest, and sometimes that's where the value lies. Both teams are desperate for points but lack the firepower to go for it. I'm backing the unders here - expect plenty of sideways passing and not much action in either penalty area.