Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng Prediction

A team's recent breath tells more than its ancient history, you see? Chongqing Tongliang Long have drawn no breath of victory in their last five matches. Two draws, three defeats, and the last two came in quick succession — a 1–3 loss to Shanghai Shenhua at home on 6 September and a 0–1 defeat at Yunnan Yukun in the FA Cup on 2 September. Across those final two games, they scored one goal and conceded four. In their last ten matches across all grounds, they have won just once, drawing three and losing six, managing 0.6 points per game. The force that once held firm at home now struggles to find its footing.

Shandong Luneng arrive with a different rhythm. Their last five matches yielded two wins, one draw and two losses, and their away record across 20 games tells a story of consistency: 9 wins, 4 draws, 7 losses, scoring 1.9 goals per game on the road. They have not failed to score in more than two of their last five outings, and their away record shows 13 of 20 games where both teams found the net. The visitors carry the momentum of a side that knows how to win on the road.

The head-to-head, though limited, leans firmly in Shandong Luneng's favour. Within the last 12 months, the two sides met once — at Shandong Luneng's ground in May 2026 — and the hosts won 3–1. The older meeting, a 2024 FA Cup tie at Chongqing Tongliang Long's ground, ended 3–6 to Shandong Luneng. Both meetings saw both teams score and both went over 2.5 goals. The head-to-head is dated, so current form must carry more weight, and current form points to Shandong.

Now, the counter-argument, for I must be fair. Chongqing Tongliang Long's home record across 20 games — spanning 13 months — shows 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses, with 9 clean sheets in that stretch. They have drawn two of their last five matches, and Shandong Luneng themselves have lost two of their last five (0–3 to Shanghai SIPG and 0–2 to Qingdao Youth Island). A home side that has kept nine clean sheets in 20 home games is not without a path to a result. But the path is narrow. Chongqing have not won in five. They have failed to score in three of those five. The tide has turned, and the wise one sees it clearly.

Key Points:

• Chongqing Tongliang Long: 0W 2D 3L in last 5; lost last 2, scored 1, conceded 4

• Shandong Luneng away record: 9W 4D 7L in 20 games; 1.9 goals per game on the road

• Head-to-head: Shandong Luneng won both meetings (3–1 in May 2026, 3–6 in 2024)

• Chongqing failed to score in 3 of last 5; Shandong failed to score in only 2 of last 5

• Chongqing home record (20 games): 7W 7D 6L; 9 clean sheets

The wise one knows that a team without a win in five and without a goal in three of them does not suddenly find its voice at home. Shandong Luneng, with their away record and their head-to-head dominance, are the ones to trust. The bet: Shandong Luneng away win.