Milton Keynes Dons vs Crewe Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this League Two scrap between MK Dons and Crewe. Both sides are knocking around the top half of the table, but when you dig into the recent form, it's a proper mixed bag.

MK Dons are sitting pretty in 4th spot with 21 points, but their home form has been about as reliable as a chocolate teapot lately. Just one win in their last five at home, and they've been shipping goals for fun - conceding 2.6 per game at home! That 5-1 hammering by West Ham's kids in the EFL Trophy tells you all you need to know about their defensive frailties at the moment. Mind you, they can score - they put four past Bristol Rovers on their travels and smashed three past Gillingham.

Crewe, sitting in 8th, aren't much better at the back. Only one clean sheet in their last ten matches, and they've been leaking goals away from home. They did grab a decent 2-1 win at Harrogate, but getting turned over 1-0 by Barrow shows they can be blunt on their travels too.

When these two have met over the years, it's been dead even - four wins each and one draw from nine meetings. Both teams tend to find the net when they play each other.

Looking at the stats, both sides are averaging over 1.5 goals scored per game, but both are also conceding plenty. MK Dons have seen both teams score in 70% of their recent games, while Crewe are at 50%. With defences this shaky, I'd be surprised if we don't see goals at both ends.

The bookies are offering 1.80 for both teams to score, which looks about right to me. Given how leaky both backlines have been, I reckon there's value in that.