Crawley Town vs Accrington ST Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this basement battle down in League Two. Crawley Town welcome Accrington ST in what's basically a six-pointer at the bottom of the table. The Reds are sitting 20th with 16 points, while Accrington are just one spot above 'em on 17 points. Proper relegation scrap stuff, this.

Crawley's recent form has been a bit of a mixed bag, to be honest. They've only managed 2 wins in their last 10 games, but there have been some decent performances in there. They smashed Bristol Rovers 4-0 at home and beat Fleetwood 2-1, which shows they've got it in 'em when they turn up. Their last outing was a creditable 2-2 draw with Gillingham away from home. At their own gaff, they're averaging 1.8 goals per game, which ain't too shabby, but they're also letting in 1.2 per game on their own patch.

Accrington, on the other hand, have been slightly better with 3 wins from their last 10. They've had some proper eye-catching results too - that 4-0 hammering of league leaders Swindon Town was some result, and they just put Bristol Rovers to the sword 3-1 in their last game. But here's the big problem for the visitors - they can't buy a win on the road. Zero wins from their last 4 away trips, and they're shipping goals for fun away from home, conceding 2 per game on their travels.

The head-to-head between these two is pretty even over the years - 4 wins each and a draw from 9 meetings. At Crawley's place, it's 2-1-2 to the home side, so no real historical advantage there.

What's really catching my eye is the goals situation. Both teams have been finding the net regularly - both teams score in 70% of Crawley's games and 60% of Accrington's. Given Crawley's home attacking record and Accrington's defensive frailties on the road, we could be in for a proper goal fest.

The bookies have Crawley as slight favorites at 2.00, which makes sense given they're at home and Accrington's away form is shocking. But honestly, this could go either way or end up a draw - it's that tight at the bottom.

Key Points:

Both teams are in relegation trouble, separated by just one point

Crawley have won 2 of their last 10, Accrington 3 of their last 10

Accrington have zero wins in their last 4 away games

Both teams score in 70% of Crawley's games and 60% of Accrington's

Crawley average 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded at home

Accrington average 1.25 goals scored and 2.0 conceded away

• Head-to-head is evenly matched over the years

Looking at the stats and the form, I'm leaning towards both teams getting on the scoresheet here. Neither defense is exactly watertight, and both sides have shown they can find the net. At 1.67, Both Teams to Score looks the most sensible play in what could be a nervy, end-to-end affair between two desperate teams.