1. FC Heidenheim vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction

Frankfurt to heap more misery on struggling Heidenheim

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Bundesliga basement battle. Heidenheim are propping up the table with just 4 points from 8 games, and frankly, it's not looking pretty for them. They've only managed one win all season - that 2-1 victory over Augsburg back in September - and their recent form is about as convincing as a chocolate teapot.

Their last few outings tell the story: a 0-1 cup defeat to Hamburg, getting thumped 3-1 by Hoffenheim, and a lucky 2-2 draw with Werder Bremen. They're scoring just 1.2 goals per game while shipping 1.7, and at home, they're even worse - only finding the net once per game on their own patch.

Frankfurt, meanwhile, are sitting pretty in 6th place with 13 points. Now, they're not exactly world-beaters - their defence is leakier than a sieve, conceding nearly 3 goals per game on average. But boy, can they score. They've been involved in some proper goal fests recently, like that mad 6-4 win against Gladbach and a 5-1 hammering by Atletico Madrid in the Champions League.

The head-to-head makes grim reading for Heidenheim fans. Five meetings, zero wins for Heidenheim, four for Frankfurt. The last two encounters ended 0-3 and 0-4 to Frankfurt. Ouch.

Frankfurt's away form isn't exactly stellar - they've only won 25% of their away games recently - but they're scoring 2.5 goals per game on the road. Given Heidenheim's defensive woes at home (conceding 1.8 per game), you'd fancy Frankfurt to find the net a few times.

The bookies have Frankfurt as clear favorites at 1.98, and that looks about right to me. Heidenheim are struggling for confidence, can't keep clean sheets, and have never beaten Frankfurt. Frankfurt might concede - they usually do - but they should have enough quality to outscore the basement boys.

Key Points:

  • Heidenheim rock bottom with just 4 points from 8 games
  • Frankfurt sitting 6th with 13 points
  • Head-to-head: Frankfurt have won 4 of 5 meetings
  • Frankfurt scoring 2.5 goals per game away from home
  • Heidenheim conceding 1.8 goals per game at home
  • Frankfurt's recent games averaging over 4 goals per match

The Verdict: Frankfurt to win this one. They're the better team, in better form, and have the psychological edge from that dominant head-to-head record. Heidenheim are in a right mess and look ripe for the taking.

Match time
Recommended Bet
AWAY WIN
Odds
1.98
+EV
+18.8%
Estimated Chance60%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN