1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Nürnberg Prediction

Nürnberg to Sink Rock-Bottom Magdeburg

Preview

Ag man, this one looks pretty straightforward! Magdeburg is absolutely kak - dead last in the league with only 7 points from 13 games. They've lost 4 of their last 5 league matches and can barely score a goal, averaging just 0.60 per game. At home, it's even worse - only 0.50 goals per home game and they've lost 75% of their home matches this season.

Nürnberg is a completely different story. Sitting in 9th place with 18 points, they've won 3 of their last 4 league games and are scoring freely away from home with 1.75 goals per away match. Their recent form includes a solid 2-0 win against Arminia Bielefeld and a 2-1 victory at Dynamo Dresden.

The head-to-head tells us everything we need to know - Magdeburg has NEVER beaten Nürnberg at home! Their home record against Nürnberg is 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses. The last meeting was a goal fest with Nürnberg winning 4-3.

Looking at the stats, Magdeburg's defense is leaking goals (1.75 per home game) while their attack is non-existent. Nürnberg is averaging nearly triple the goals Magdeburg is scoring and has much better momentum. The away side should have too much quality for a team that's rock bottom of the table and struggling to find the back of the net.

The odds of 2.70 for an away win look like good value considering the massive gulf in form and the historical head-to-head advantage.

Match time
Recommended Bet
AWAY WIN
Odds
2.70
+EV
+29.6%
Estimated Chance48%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN