1. FC Nürnberg vs Eintracht Braunschweig Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this basement battle in the 2. Bundesliga. Two sides who've been having a proper shocker of a season so far, with Nürnberg sitting 15th and Braunschweig just three places above them.

Nürnberg have shown a bit of life recently, mind you. They've picked up draws against Kaiserslautern (1-1) and Holstein Kiel (1-1), and even managed a decent 3-2 win away at Fortuna Düsseldorf. But here's the rub - they're absolutely toothless at home, averaging just 0.60 goals per game on their own patch. That's not going to get the bunting out, is it?

Braunschweig, bless 'em, are defending like they've got lead in their boots. They're shipping 2.30 goals per game and haven't kept a single clean sheet in their last 10 matches. Their away form is absolutely shocking too - losing three-quarters of their away games. They just got stuffed 0-3 by Hannover 96, which tells you everything you need to know about where they're at.

But here's the interesting bit - the head-to-head is heavily in Nürnberg's favour, especially at home where they've won 4 out of 5 against Braunschweig. Last time these two met, Nürnberg gave them a proper hiding with a 4-1 result.

When you look at the stats, both teams are pretty generous at the back. Nürnberg have seen both teams score in 70% of their recent games, while Braunschweig have BTTS in 80% of theirs. Neither side can keep a clean sheet to save their lives, but both are scoring regularly enough to make things interesting.

The goal expectancy suggests we're looking at around 2.4 goals in this one, which points towards a proper open game. Given Nürnberg's home struggles going forward and Braunschweig's defensive nightmares away from home, this has all the makings of a proper end-to-end affair where both sides will likely get on the scoresheet.

Key Points:

• Nürnberg struggling at home with just 0.60 goals per game

• Braunschweig haven't kept a clean sheet in 10 matches

• Head-to-head heavily favours Nürnberg at home (4-1-0 record)

• Both teams have high BTTS percentages (70% and 80% respectively)

• Braunschweig's away form is dreadful with 75% loss rate

The smart money here looks to be on both teams finding the net. Neither defence can be trusted, and while Nürnberg struggle at home, Braunschweig are even worse on the road. Both teams to score at 1.69 looks like decent value for what should be an open, error-strewn contest between two sides who need the points but can't defend for toffee.