FC OSS vs Vitesse Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Eerste Divisie clash. FC OSS welcome Vitesse, and if the history books are anything to go by, don't expect a classic. These two have met three times, and would you believe it, they've drawn the lot. The most recent was a proper snoozefest back in December, finishing 0-0. So, the first thing to know is this: these sides know how to cancel each other out.

OSS are sitting 16th, a touch above the real muck, while Vitesse are down in 19th with a measly 19 points. On paper, you'd fancy the home side, but hold your horses. OSS's form at their own gaff is, frankly, a bit naff. Just one win in their last six at home, conceding nearly two goals a game on average. They did smash Emmen 4-0 a few weeks back, which shows they've got a goal in them, but they followed that up by losing to Waalwijk. Consistency? Not their strong suit.

Now, let's talk about Vitesse on the road. It's not a pretty picture. No wins in their last four away trips, and they've only managed to score a grand total of two goals in that time. That's half a goal a game. They did manage a decent 0-0 draw away at league leaders ADO Den Haag, which was a great result, but then they lost at home to Dordrecht. Makes your head spin, doesn't it?

So what's the story here? OSS can score at home but are leaky. Vitesse can't score away but are slightly tighter at the back. The maths says the goal expectancies are low, and my gut says this has 'one goal or fewer' written all over it. Vitesse just don't look like scoring on their travels, and OSS might not find it easy to break them down either.

Key Points:

Head-to-head is all draws (3 games).

Vitesse have failed to win any of their last 4 away games, scoring just 0.5 goals per game on the road.

OSS have won only 1 of their last 6 at home.

OSS's last three: Lost 2-0, Won 2-1 at Roda, Won 4-0 vs Emmen.

Vitesse's last three: Drew 1-1, Lost 1-2 to Dordrecht, Drew 0-0 at ADO Den Haag.

The last meeting between these sides ended 0-0.

The Simple Verdict:

This has the feel of a proper mid-table slog. Vitesse's travel sickness in front of goal is the standout stat for me. I can see OSS nicking a 1-0 win, or this petering out into another 0-0 draw. What I struggle to see is both teams finding the net. The value, for my money, is in backing at least one side to draw a blank.

My Tip: Both Teams to Score - NO.