Modena vs Juve Stabia Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Serie B showdown! Modena are sitting pretty at the top of the table, and for good reason - they've been absolutely solid this season. 21 points from 10 games, banging in goals for fun at home (2.0 per game), and keeping things tight at the back with only 0.6 conceded per game overall. Proper top of the table form, that.

They did have a bit of a slip-up last time out, losing 1-0 to Reggiana, but let's not get carried away - that was their first loss in 10 games! Before that, they were flying, beating Empoli 2-1 at home, Virtus Entella 2-0, and putting three past Bari. Their home record is something else - 80% win rate at their own patch.

Now for Juve Stabia. They're the draw kings of Serie B, aren't they? Six draws in their last 10 games! They're sitting mid-table in 9th with 14 points, but away from home they've been a bit hit and miss. Only one win in five on their travels, and they're leaking 1.8 goals per game away from home. They did have a decent 2-2 draw with Padova, but getting stuffed 3-0 by Carrarese shows they can be vulnerable on the road.

Head-to-head, there's not much to go on - only two meetings ever. Modena won 3-0 at home last season, but Juve Stabia did get them 2-1 away in March. Both games went over 2.5, but I reckon this one might be different.

Modena's defense has been rock solid, and Juve Stabia's away form is patchy at best. The league leaders at home against a draw-happy mid-table side? I know where my money's going!

Key Points:

• Modena top of Serie B with 21 points from 10 games

• 80% home win rate for Modena this season

• Juve Stabia have drawn 6 of their last 10 matches

• Juve Stabia only 20% win rate away from home

• Modena concede just 0.6 goals per game overall

• Juve Stabia leak 1.8 goals per game on their travels

The bottom line is Modena are the business at home, and Juve Stabia struggle on the road. The league leaders just had a little blip and will be keen to get back to winning ways. At 1.90, that's value I can get behind!