Bala Town vs llanelli AFC Prediction

Bottom-Of-The-Table Battle: Bala vs Llanelli

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one, guv'nor. We've got ourselves a proper six-pointer at the bottom of the Welsh Premier League, with Bala Town hosting the rock-bottom Llanelli AFC.

Now, on paper, you'd think Bala should have this in the bag. They're sitting 8th with 16 points, while Llanelli are propping up the entire league with a measly 7 points from 14 games. But football's not played on paper, is it?

Bala's recent form has been absolutely shocking, mate. They've managed just 1 win in their last 10 games, scoring a pathetic 5 goals while letting in 19. At home, it's even worse - they haven't won in their last 5 matches at their own gaff, drawing 2 and losing 3. They're averaging just 0.6 goals scored at home and conceding 2.0. That's not exactly form to write home about, is it?

Llanelli, despite being bottom, have actually shown a bit more fight recently with 3 wins in their last 10. But their away form? Absolutely dire, mate. Just 1 win in 5 away games, scoring a miserable 0.4 goals per game on their travels while shipping 3.0 per game. They've been leaking goals like a sieve on the road.

Here's the interesting bit though - the head-to-head record is completely one-sided. Bala have won all 3 meetings between these sides, scoring 11 and conceding just 2. The last time they met, back in August, Bala nicked it 1-0.

Both sides are struggling badly in front of goal. Bala are averaging 0.5 goals per game overall, Llanelli 0.7. Neither side looks like they know where the net is at the moment. Bala have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 10, Llanelli 3 - but that's more about the opposition being wasteful than any defensive masterclass.

This has all the makings of a proper cagey affair between two out-of-form sides who can't buy a goal at the moment. With Bala's home form being so poor and Llanelli's away record being even worse, I'm not expecting a goal fest here.

Key Points:

Bala Town haven't won in their last 5 home matches (0W, 2D, 3L)

Llanelli have won just 1 of their last 5 away games

Both sides are struggling to score - Bala averaging 0.5 goals per game, Llanelli 0.7

Bala have a perfect head-to-head record: 3 wins from 3 meetings

  • Both teams have been shipping goals defensively

Given the scoring struggles of both sides and the cagey nature of bottom-of-the-table clashes, I'm backing both teams NOT to score here. This has 0-0 or 1-0 written all over it, and at 1.74, it looks like decent value for what should be a tight, nervous affair.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE NO
Odds
1.74
+EV
+4.4%
Estimated Chance60%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN