Eyüpspor vs Fenerbahçe Prediction

Alright, let's have a proper look at this one. It's the classic top vs bottom half clash, innit? Fenerbahçe, sitting pretty in second and still unbeaten, travel to face an Eyüpspor side who are just three points off the foot of the table. On paper, it's a mismatch, but football's never that simple, is it?

Eyüpspor have had a right struggle this season, but they're a different beast at home. In their last five at their own gaff, they've won two, drawn two, and only lost one. More importantly, they're scoring an average of two goals a game on their own patch. They put six past Çankaya in the cup recently and have netted against everyone at home in the league except Antalyaspor. The problem is, they're also shipping goals on the road, which saw them get turned over 3-0 by Rizespor last weekend.

Now, let's talk about Fenerbahçe. Blimey, they're in some form. Unbeaten in 16 league games and scoring for fun. They've bagged 27 goals in their last ten outings, that's nearly three a game. Even away from home, they're absolutely lethal, averaging a whopping 2.83 goals per trip. They smashed five past Rizespor and four past Gazişehir Gaziantep on their travels. They do concede the odd one – they've only kept one clean sheet in their last six away games – but they usually just outscore everyone.

The head-to-head is brief but tells a story. Last time they met, Fener won 2-1, and the time before that it was a 1-1 draw. Goals have been on the menu.

So, what's the play here? Fenerbahçe to win at 1.49 is tempting, but they've drawn four of their last ten, including against Galatasaray and Başakşehir. Eyüpspor are scrappy at home and could cling on for a point. The real value, in my book, is in the goals market.

You've got Fenerbahçe's relentless attack, which averages over 18 shots and 9 on target per away game, up against an Eyüpspor defence that's been 'declining' according to the trends. At the other end, Eyüpspor average 15 shots at home and know where the net is. Put simply, I can see both teams having chances and Fener's quality making the difference. A 1-2 or 1-3 type scoreline feels about right.

Key Points:

Fenerbahçe are unbeaten and score 2.83 goals per game on average away from home.

Eyüpspor score 2.00 goals per game at home but have won just 3 of their last 10 overall.

Fenerbahçe have conceded in 5 of their last 6 away matches.

The last meeting between these sides finished 2-1 to Fenerbahçe.

• Eyüpspor have seen Over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 home league games.

The Simple Tip:

All the numbers point to goals. Fenerbahçe should win, but the price is skinny. The smarter punt is on there being at least three goals in the game. With both teams likely to score and Fener's firepower, Over 2.5 Goals is the value shout.