Fortuna Düsseldorf vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Fortuna Düsseldorf are in a right old mess at the moment, sitting pretty in 13th place with just 10 points on the board. Their home form has been absolutely shocking - not a single win in their last five matches at their own gaff, and they're shipping goals for fun at 2.2 per game. They've been proper rubbish lately too, losing four of their last five including a 1-3 thumping by Freiburg and a 0-1 loss to Hertha.

On the other hand, you've got 1. FC Kaiserslautern flying high in 5th place with 19 points. These lads are on fire, especially on their travels. They're winning two-thirds of their away matches and banging in 2.5 goals per game on the road. Their recent form has been quality - a 1-0 win at Fürth, a 3-2 victory at Karlsruhe, and they generally look like they'll score every time they step on the pitch.

Now, here's where it gets interesting for us punters. When these two teams meet, it's usually a goal fest. Eight of their last nine meetings have gone over 2.5 goals, and both teams have found the net in seven of those nine encounters. The goal expectancy for this match is sitting at 3.25, which tells you everything you need to know about where the value might be.

Fortuna's defence at home is about as solid as a chocolate teapot, while Kaiserslautern's attack is purring away nicely. Even though Fortuna have historically done well against Kaiserslautern (winning six of nine), current form tells a completely different story. The lads from Düsseldorf just can't stop conceding at home, and the visitors just can't stop scoring away from home.

When you look at the numbers, Fortuna are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, while Kaiserslautern are hitting 2.6 goals for and only letting in 1.1. Both teams are scoring in 60% of their matches recently, which fits perfectly with what we've seen in their head-to-head encounters.