Club Queretaro vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction

Chivas To Continue Upward Turn Against Struggling Queretaro

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Liga MX clash between Queretaro and Guadalajara Chivas. On paper, this looks like a mismatch of epic proportions - we've got the boys from Queretaro sitting 16th in the table with a measly 11 points, while Chivas are lounging in 8th with 20 points. That's a proper gulf in class, that is.

Queretaro's recent form has been, shall we say, a bit ropey. They've managed just 3 wins in their last 10 games, and when they've faced the big boys, they've been absolutely spanked. A 4-0 hammering against league leaders Toluca tells you all you need to know, really. To be fair, they did bag a decent 3-1 win against Puebla and a surprise 2-0 victory at Pachuca, but those are against teams struggling at the wrong end of the table.

Chivas, on the other hand, are starting to find their feet. They've picked up three wins on the bounce against Mazatlán, Puebla, and Necaxa - keeping clean sheets in the first two. Yeah, they got battered 3-0 by Toluca, but everyone's losing to Toluca these days. The important thing is they're showing improvement where it matters.

When these two have met before, it's been surprisingly tight. Four draws in eight meetings, with Queretaro only managing one home win against Chivas. But form, as they say, is temporary while class is permanent, and Chivas have got the class here.

The stats don't lie either - Chivas dominate possession (54% vs 38%), take more shots, and are generally just better at football. Queretaro leak goals for fun (1.9 per game), while Chivas are more solid at the back (1.4 conceded).

Both teams have had four days' rest, so no excuses there. With Chivas showing improving trends and Queretaro going backwards, I'm backing the away side to do the business.

Match time
Recommended Bet
AWAY WIN
Odds
1.73
+EV
+3.8%
Estimated Chance60%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN