Leicester vs West Brom Prediction

Right then, let's talk about the Championship clash at the King Power. Leicester, sitting 13th, welcome West Brom, who are 18th. On paper, it's a mid-table scrap, but the numbers tell a story that's anything but boring.

First up, Leicester at home. They've won three of their last five on their own patch, including a cracking 3-1 win over high-flying Ipswich. But here's the thing – they can't keep the ball out of their own net. Not once in their last ten games have they managed a clean sheet. Not one! They're scoring plenty – two a game at home – but they're also conceding at a rate of 1.6. It's all a bit gung-ho, which makes for great viewing but nervous defenders.

Now, West Brom on the road. It's grim reading, folks. They've lost every single one of their last five away games. Conceding over two goals a game and only scoring one. They've been turned over by the likes of Swansea, Hull, and QPR on their travels recently. The one glimmer? They usually find the net. They failed to score in only two of those five away defeats.

So, what happens when a team that can't keep a clean sheet meets a team that can't win away but usually scores? You get both teams scoring, that's what. Leicester's last ten games have seen both teams score in nine of them – a whopping 90% rate. West Brom's is 70%. It's the banker trend of this fixture.

Looking back at past meetings, Leicester have the upper hand with six wins in the last nine. But the last game ended 1-1. I reckon we're in for a similar scoreline, or perhaps a 2-1 either way. The goal expectancies point to over 2.5 goals as well, but for my money, the 'Both Teams to Score' market is where the value lies.

The bookies have 'Yes' at 1.73. Given the defensive records – or lack thereof – I'd say the real chance of both teams scoring is much higher. Leicester's attack at home is lively, and West Brom, for all their travel sickness, usually trouble the scorers.

Key Points:

Leicester have not kept a clean sheet in their last 10 matches.

West Brom have lost their last 5 away matches.

Both Teams have Scored in 90% of Leicester's last 10 games.

Head-to-head history strongly favours Leicester (6 wins in 9).

• Leicester average 2.0 goals per game at home; West Brom concede 2.2 per game away.

In summary, this has all the makings of an entertaining, open game. Leicester's home form should see them create chances, but their defence will likely gift West Brom one too. I'm steering clear of the match result – West Brom's away form is too poor to back them, but Leicester's inconsistency makes the win odds a bit skinny. The smart play, the value play, is on goals at both ends.