Ipswich vs Leicester Prediction

Ipswich vs Leicester: Championship Banker Bet

Preview

Listen here, my bru! Fire up the braai and crack open a cold one because we've got a proper Championship clash coming up on Saturday. Ipswich are hosting Leicester and if you're looking for a banker to get your weekend started right, this might just be it.

Ipswich are sitting pretty in 3rd place with 63 points, and they're flying higher than a hadeda at sunrise. They've won 5 of their last 10 games, including a solid 1-0 win against Hull City and a dominant 3-0 thumping of Swansea in their recent home fixtures. At home, these boys are tighter than my boerewors recipe - 75% win rate in their last 4 home games and conceding just 0.25 goals per game. That's proper defence, not this nonsense modern football where everyone forgets how to mark.

Now let's look at Leicester. Eish, my friends, it's not lekker for the visitors. They're stranded in 22nd place with only 34 points and here's the kicker - they haven't won a single game in their last 10 attempts! Zero, zip, nada. Four draws and six losses, including a 0-2 home defeat to Norwich and a 3-4 thriller against Southampton where they still couldn't get the W. Their away form is slightly less terrible with three draws in their last six on the road, but they still haven't tasted victory away from home either.

The head-to-head record usually favors Leicester historically (5 wins to Ipswich's 1 in the last 9), but that form is about as relevant as a salad at my braai. Current form is everything, and Ipswich are creating chances for fun (12.5 shots per game at home) while Leicester are leaking goals like a rusty braai grid (1.90 conceded per game recently).

With goal expectancies sitting at 1.62 for the hosts and just 0.71 for the visitors, plus Leicester's shocking 0% clean sheet rate in their last 10 games compared to Ipswich's 50%, this looks like a straightforward afternoon for the promotion chasers.

Key Points:

• Ipswich are 3rd in the Championship with 63 points; Leicester are 22nd with 34 points

• Ipswich have won 75% of their last 4 home games; Leicester have won 0% of their last 6 away games

• Leicester are winless in their last 10 matches (0W-4D-6L)

• Ipswich have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 games; Leicester have kept 0

• Ipswich beat Hull 1-0 and Swansea 3-0 in recent home fixtures

• Leicester lost 0-2 to Norwich and 0-2 to Charlton in recent games

Summary: This is as close to a sure thing as you'll find in the Championship without betting on the Springboks to beat the Pumas. Ipswich are promotion-bound while Leicester are fighting relegation with the momentum of a tortoise on sleeping pills. Back the home win at 1.48 - it's not the juiciest odds you'll ever see, but winners are winners and I love winning!

Match time
Recommended Bet
HOME WIN
Odds
1.48
+EV
+11.0%
Estimated Chance75%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN