Brentford vs Burnley Prediction

Bees Look To Buzz Past Struggling Clarets

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one down at the Brentford Community Stadium. The Bees are sitting pretty in 13th with 16 points, while Burnley are propping up the table near the bottom with just 10 points from their opening 12 games. It's a classic mid-table vs relegation scrap, and there's plenty to chew on here.

Brentford have been a bit of a mixed bag lately, haven't they? They've had some proper decent results - smashing Newcastle 3-1 at home, beating Liverpool 3-2, and taking down Manchester United 3-1. But they've also had some stinkers, losing 2-1 to Brighton and getting blanked 2-0 by Crystal Palace. At home, they're scoring for fun with 2.00 goals per game, though they're still letting in 1.20 per match on their own patch.

Burnley, well, they're having a right old time of it. Two wins in their last 10 tells its own story, doesn't it? They did show some spirit beating Wolves 3-2 and Leeds 2-0, but they've been shipping goals for fun on their travels - 3.00 per game away from home! That's proper generous, that is. They did manage to score twice against West Ham in their last away game, so there's some attacking intent there.

Here's the interesting bit - these two have history. Burnley actually have the edge head-to-head with 4 wins to Brentford's 2, though the Bees have done well at home against them with 2 wins from 3 meetings. The last time they met, Burnley nicked it 2-1.

Looking at the numbers, both teams have been finding the net and letting them in at a similar rate - 60% of their recent games have seen both teams score. Brentford are averaging 1.90 goals per game overall, while Burnley are managing 1.10, but away from home the Clarets actually bump that up to 1.75 per game.

The bookies have Brentford as firm favorites at 1.45, which makes sense given their home form and Burnley's struggles on the road. But I'm looking at the Both Teams to Score market here - at 1.95, it looks like it could have some value. Brentford will likely score at home, and given Burnley's away attacking record and Brentford's tendency to concede, we could see both sides get on the scoresheet.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.95
+EV
+17.0%
Estimated Chance60%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN