Austria Vienna (Am) vs Austria Salzburg Prediction

Goeiedag, friends! Pajimon here, ready to talk football and winning. Today we look at Austria Vienna (Am) vs Austria Salzburg in the 2. Liga. The match kicks off on 2026-04-17. Like a good steak, this bet looks tasty, but we need to check the stats first.

Austria Vienna (Am) sits 6th in the table with 37 points, while Austria Salzburg is 9th with 29 points. Vienna's home form is lekker strong. In their last 6 home games, they won 4, drew 1, and lost 1. That's a 66.67% win rate. They average 2.33 goals per game at home. Salzburg's away form is not so bra. In their last 5 away games, they won only 1, drew 3, and lost 1. That's a 20% win rate. They average 1.00 goals per game away.

Head-to-Head: They met once in 2025. Salzburg won 2-0. But form changes. Vienna is scoring well at home. Salzburg is struggling away. Vienna has scored 18 goals in their last 10 games (1.8 per game). Salzburg has scored 14 goals in their last 10 games (1.4 per game). Vienna concedes 1.00 per game, Salzburg concedes 0.80 per game.

The odds for Home Win are 2.20. The market implies a 45.45% chance. But based on the home win rate of 66.67%, the fair odds should be around 1.50. This gives us a nice edge. Other markets like Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS do not offer enough value. The Over 2.5 odds of 2.04 imply 49.02%, while the fair probability is 48.22%. No edge there.

Key Points:

• Vienna is 6th, Salzburg is 9th.

• Vienna home win rate: 66.67%.

• Salzburg away win rate: 20%.

• H2H: Salzburg won 2-0 last time.

• Goal Expectancy: Vienna 1.57, Salzburg 1.08.

Summary:

Based on the strong home form of Vienna and the weak away form of Salzburg, the Home Win at 2.20 offers value. We go with Austria Vienna (Am) to win.