Lazio vs Bologna Prediction

Lazio vs Bologna: Battle of the Mid-Table Heavyweights

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Lazio welcome Bologna to town in what's shaping up to be a right proper tussle between two sides who've had very different seasons so far.

Bologna are sitting pretty in 6th place with 24 points, while Lazio are lagging behind in 8th on just 18 points. That's a six-point gap that tells you plenty about how these two have been getting on.

Now, Lazio have been solid at the back lately - only 6 goals conceded in their last 10 games with 7 clean sheets. That's some proper defending, that is. But when you look closer, they've been beating up on the bottom half teams like Lecce (2-0), Cagliari (2-0), and Genoa (3-0). Against the big boys? Not so much. Lost 1-0 to AC Milan and 2-0 to Inter. They did manage a cheeky 1-0 win over Juventus though, so they can turn up when they want to.

Bologna, on the other hand, have been more productive going forward - 18 goals in their last 10 games. They've had some brilliant results too, like that 2-0 win over Napoli and smashing Udinese 3-0 away from home. They did have a shocker losing 1-3 at home to Cremonese recently, but everyone has their off days, don't they?

Here's the killer stat though - Bologna's away form is absolutely electric. 75% win rate on their travels and they're banging in 2.5 goals per game away from home. That's some serious firepower to bring to someone's backyard.

The head-to-head is pretty even overall, but Lazio have historically dominated this fixture at home. Though that last meeting was a proper hammering - 5-0 to someone!

Looking at the betting odds, the bookies have this as a proper toss-up. Lazio at 2.60, Bologna at 2.88. They're expecting goals though - Over 2.5 is at 2.50, which suggests they think we might see a few.

For me, the value looks like it might be in Both Teams to Score. Lazio are solid at home but Bologna are scoring for fun on their travels. Lazio's defence has been brilliant recently, but Bologna's away attack is just too good to keep quiet for 90 minutes. Plus, both teams have shown they can score against decent opposition.

Key Points:

Bologna sit 6th with 24 points, Lazio 8th with 18 points

Lazio have 7 clean sheets in last 10 games but struggle against top teams

Bologna scoring 1.8 goals per game and have brilliant 75% away win rate

Bologna banging in 2.5 goals per game away from home

Head-to-head even overall but Lazio strong at home historically

Both teams have shown they can score against decent opposition recently

I'm backing Both Teams to Score here. Bologna's away attack is too potent to be kept quiet, and while Lazio are solid defensively, they're at home where they tend to be more adventurous. The odds of 2.00 look about right to me, maybe even a touch generous given Bologna's away form.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
2.00
+EV
+30.0%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN