Valencia vs Levante Prediction

Relegation Six-Pointer: Valencia Host Levante

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this basement battle! Valencia and Levante are both stuck in the relegation muck, and someone's got to start climbing out. The home side are sitting 17th with just 10 points, while Levante are rock bottom on 9 points - proper six-pointer stuff!

Valencia's recent form has been shocking, mate. They've managed only 2 wins in their last 10 games, and they've been shipping goals like there's no tomorrow. Got absolutely hammered 4-0 by Real Madrid and 6-0 by Barcelona recently. At home, they've lost 3 of their last 4, including a 0-2 defeat to Villarreal and a 1-2 loss to Oviedo. They're only averaging 1 goal per game at their own gaff while letting in 1.25.

But here's the interesting bit - Levante have been better on their travels than at home this season! They've won half their away games, scoring a very tasty 2.17 goals per game on the road. They put 4 past Girona away and won 2-0 at Oviedo. Their away form is actually decent compared to their home struggles.

The head-to-head shows Valencia haven't lost at home to Levante in 5 attempts, but recent meetings have been tight affairs - mostly draws and close games. Both teams tend to concede though - Valencia have kept only 3 clean sheets in 10 games, Levante just 2 in 10.

Given Levante's away scoring record and Valencia's defensive woes at home, plus the fact both sides need to attack to get out of trouble, I'm expecting goals at both ends. Valencia might have home advantage, but their form's been proper dodgy.

Key Points:

  • Both teams are in relegation trouble - Valencia 17th, Levante 19th
  • Valencia have lost 3 of last 4 home games
  • Levante have won 50% of away games this season
  • Levante scoring 2.17 goals per game away from home
  • Both teams have poor defensive records
  • Head-to-head shows tight games between these sides

The stats are pointing towards both teams finding the net here. Levante's away attack looks dangerous, and Valencia's home defence has been leakier than a sieve. Both sides need the points and will likely go for it, which should open up the game.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.75
+EV
+5.0%
Estimated Chance60%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN