Puebla vs Cruz Azul Prediction

Ag man, this looks like a proper mismatch! Puebla are rock bottom of the Liga MX table with only 9 points from 15 games, while Cruz Azul are sitting pretty in 3rd place with 32 points. That's a bigger gap than between my braai and the fridge!

Puebla's recent form is shocking - just 1 win in their last 10 games and they haven't kept a clean sheet in 10 matches! Their defense is leaking like a cheap beer funnel, conceding 3 goals per game on average. At home, it's even worse - they're letting in 3.40 goals per game! Their recent results tell the story: a 4-4 draw with FC Juarez, losses to Club America (2-1), and that embarrassing 0-6 thumping by Badajoz in a friendly.

Cruz Azul, on the other hand, are cooking with gas. They've won 5 of their last 10 games and their away form is solid - 50% win rate on the road with only 1 goal conceded per game away from home. They just beat Monterrey 2-0 and Club America 2-1, showing they can handle the big teams.

The head-to-head doesn't help Puebla either - they've never beaten Cruz Azul at home (0 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). Cruz Azul know how to get the job done at this ground.

Puebla might score a goal or two (they average 1.50 per game), but with that defense of theirs, Cruz Azul should have a field day. The goal expectancy has Cruz Azul scoring 2.28 goals to Puebla's 1.30, which sounds about right to me.

This looks like a straightforward away win for me. Cruz Azul are just too good, too organized, and too motivated for a Puebla side that's having a shocker of a season.