Bromley vs Notts County Prediction

Top of the Table Tussle: Goals on the Cards at Bromley

Preview

Alright, gather round. We've got a proper top-of-the-table showdown this weekend as league leaders Bromley welcome second-placed Notts County. It's first versus second, and the stakes couldn't be higher. Let's have a butcher's at the numbers and see where the value lies.

Bromley are absolutely flying. They're sitting pretty at the summit with 62 points and, more importantly, they haven't lost in their last ten outings. Eight wins and two draws in that run tells you everything you need to know. They're scoring for fun – 22 goals in those ten games – and they've put four past Gillingham and three past Bristol Rovers and Crawley Town recently. They're a side full of confidence and they love a goal at home, averaging two per game in their last four at their place.

Notts County are no mugs, mind you. They're five points behind but with a game in hand on some, and they've won five of their last six. They're the grinders, the 1-0 and 2-1 specialists. Look at their recent results: 1-0 against Gillingham, 1-0 against Crewe, 2-1 against Swindon. They know how to get the job done, even if it ain't always pretty. Their problem? They're not exactly free-scoring on the road, averaging 1.25 goals away, and they've come unstuck against the better sides like Accrington and Chesterfield.

Now, the history between these two is fascinating. They've met nine times and Bromley have only won twice. The draw is the most common result, with six of them! The goals have usually flown too, with both teams scoring in seven of those nine clashes. The last time they met, back in August, it finished 2-2. All the signs point to another lively one.

So, what's the bet? The bookies have Bromley at 2.38 to win at home, which is tempting given their form. But County are stubborn, and draws are in their DNA against this opponent. The value, for me, lies in the goals market. Bromley's defence has kept only three clean sheets in ten, conceding in seven of those games. County have scored in seven of their last ten. Put simply, both teams are likely to find the net.

The odds for 'Both Teams to Score - Yes' are sitting at 1.77. Given the form, the head-to-head record, and the sheer importance of the match, I fancy that price represents a bit of value. Bromley will attack, County will look to hit back. It might not be a classic, but I can see both keepers picking the ball out of their net.

Key Points:

Bromley are unbeaten in ten (W8, D2) and are the league's top scorers in that period.

Notts County have won five of their last six, but often by narrow margins.

Head-to-head history is dominated by draws (6 from 9) and both teams scoring (7 from 9).

Bromley concede regularly (70% of recent games saw BTTS).

  • Notts County have scored in 7 of their last 10 matches.

The Simple Tip: This has all the makings of a cracker with chances at both ends. The smart money, at a nice price, is on both teams to score.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.77
+EV
+15.0%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN