FC Augsburg vs RB Leipzig Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Bundesliga clash between FC Augsburg and RB Leipzig. The lads from Augsburg are having a right old time of it down in 13th place with just 7 points from 7 games, while Leipzig are sitting pretty in 2nd with 16 points. It's a proper tale of two seasons so far, ain't it?

Augsburg's recent form's been a bit hit and miss, hasn't it? They grabbed a decent point away at Köln (1-1) and beat Wolfsburg at home (3-1), but then they went and lost to Heidenheim (2-1), got hammered by Mainz (1-4), and lost to St Pauli (2-1). At home, they're leaking goals like a sieve - 2.2 per game on average, which is never gonna win you many matches in this league.

Leipzig, on the other hand, are looking proper tasty. They've won 6 of their last 10, including recent wins against Hamburg (2-1), Wolfsburg (1-0), Köln (3-1), and Mainz (1-0). Only dropped points against Dortmund in a 1-1 draw, and that 6-0 mauling by Bayern aside, they've been solid as a rock.

Now here's the killer stat - Augsburg have NEVER beaten Leipzig in 9 attempts. Not once! At home, it's 0 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses. That's some mental block right there, innit? Last time they met was a 0-0 draw, but before that, Leipzig put 4 past them.

Both teams like a goal, mind you. Augsburg have seen both teams score in 80% of their recent games, while Leipzig are at 60%. And when these two get together, it's usually goals galore - 7 of their 9 meetings have gone over 2.5 goals.

Leipzig are averaging more shots (17 vs 12) and better possession (52% vs 48%), so they're controlling games better. Augsburg's defence at home is about as sturdy as a chocolate teapot, and Leipzig's got enough quality to exploit that all day long.

The bookies have Leipzig at 1.95 for the win, which looks decent value to me. Augsburg at 3.40 seems a bit optimistic given their home form and that dreadful head-to-head record.