Southampton vs Leicester Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Championship clash between Southampton and Leicester. The Saints are sitting 16th with 21 points, while the Foxes are just three places and three points better off in 10th. This could be a proper six-pointer!

Southampton have been a bit of a mixed bag lately, haven't they? They've shown they can bang 'em in - that 5-1 hammering of Charlton was proper stuff, plus they put three past Sheffield Wednesday at home. But they've also had some right shockers, like that 0-2 home defeat to Preston. The key stat here is that both teams have scored in 80% of their last 10 games. They're averaging 1.6 goals scored but also letting in 1.3 per game.

Leicester, on the other hand, have been steady without setting the world alight. Three wins, four draws, three losses in their last 10. They've had some decent results like the 2-1 win over Stoke City, but here's the killer stat - they haven't kept a single clean sheet in their last 10 matches! Not one! They're averaging exactly 1.2 goals for and against per game.

When these two have met historically, it's usually been Leicester who come out on top - they've won 5 of the 9 meetings. But more importantly for our purposes, both teams have found the net in 6 of those 9 encounters, and we've seen over 2.5 goals in 6 of 9 as well.

Looking at the attacking stats, Southampton are averaging more shots (14 vs 13.3) and way more shots on target (5.2 vs 3.4). Leicester's shot accuracy is pretty poor at just 25.9%, compared to Southampton's 36.7%. Both sides like to have the ball too, with possession stats virtually identical.

The way I see it, we've got two teams who both know how to score but also both look a bit shaky at the back. Southampton are showing they can be lethal going forward, while Leicester just can't seem to keep a clean sheet to save their lives. With both teams scoring in 80% of their recent games and the head-to-head record suggesting goals, this looks like a proper candidate for both teams to get on the scoresheet.

Key Points:

• Both teams have scored in 80% of Southampton's last 10 games

• Leicester haven't kept a clean sheet in their last 10 matches

• Southampton only have 1 clean sheet in their last 10 games

• Both teams have scored in 6 of 9 head-to-head meetings

• Southampton averaging 5.2 shots on target vs Leicester's 3.4

• Both teams averaging over 1 goal scored per game recently

The odds of 1.75 for both teams to score look decent value to me. Given the defensive vulnerabilities on both sides and the fact both teams are finding the net regularly, I reckon there's a proper good chance we see goals from both sides here.