Pisa vs Inter Prediction

Inter to shut out struggling Pisa at home

Preview

Alright folks, let's fire up the BBQ and break down this Serie A clash! Pisa are sitting pretty at the bottom of the table with just one win all season, while Inter are flying high in 4th place. But here's the thing - Pisa have been surprisingly solid at home lately, keeping four straight clean sheets. The problem? They can't score to save their lives!

Looking at Pisa's recent home form, they've managed a grand total of 0.25 goals per game at home. That's worse than my attempts at gardening! They've drawn 0-0 with Lazio and Verona, and only managed to beat Cremonese 1-0. Their defense has been tight though, which makes this interesting.

Inter, on the other hand, have been scoring for fun with 2 goals per game overall. They've had a couple of recent hiccups against Atletico Madrid and AC Milan, but they're still banging in goals away from home (1.8 per game). They've put four past Cremonese and three past Fiorentina recently.

The head-to-head shows just one previous meeting - a 1-1 draw. But given current form, Inter should have too much quality. The key question is whether Pisa can actually score. Based on their home attacking record, I'd say that's about as likely as me choosing salad over steak!

Pisa's recent results show they can frustrate good teams - they drew 2-2 with AC Milan and Sassuolo. But those were away games where they actually attack more. At home, they just park the bus and hope for the best.

Inter's away record is solid with 60% wins, and they should have enough to break down this defensive Pisa side. The value here isn't in the straightforward Inter win at 1.33 - too short for my liking. Instead, I'm looking at both teams to score NO. Pisa simply don't score at home, and Inter's defense should be good enough to keep them out.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE NO
Odds
1.62
+EV
+5.3%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN