remo vs Chapecoense-sc Prediction

Top-Of-The-Table Clash: Goals Expected When High-Flyers Collide

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this cracker! We've got ourselves a genuine top-of-the-table scrap in Brazil's Serie B, with third-placed remo hosting second-placed Chapecoense-sc. Both sides are locked on 57 points, so you can bet your bottom dollar this means business for the promotion race.

Remo have been absolutely electric at home lately, winning three-quarters of their recent matches on their own patch. They're scoring for fun too - 2.25 goals per game at home, and they've been putting some proper numbers on the board recently. Just look at their recent results: 3-1 against Athletic Club, 3-2 at Paysandu, and a 4-2 hammering of CRB. The lads know where the net is, no doubt about that.

But here's the rub - their defence is about as watertight as a chocolate teapot. Only one clean sheet in their last ten games tells you everything you need to know. Both teams have scored in a whopping 80% of their recent matches, so they're basically guaranteeing goals for the opposition.

Chapecoense-sc, on the other hand, are a much more organised outfit. They're proper solid at the back, only letting in 0.8 goals per game, and they've kept three clean sheets in their last ten. But they're no slouches going forward either, scoring in 60% of their games and averaging 1.5 goals per match. Their away form is impressive too - 60% win rate on their travels is the real deal.

The only previous meeting between these two ended 1-1 back in July, with both sides finding the net. That pattern looks set to continue given what we're seeing.

Now, I've had a proper look at the numbers, and the Both Teams to Score market at 1.91 is catching my eye. When you've got one side scoring for fun but can't defend, and another that's solid but still scores regularly, you're usually in for goals. The goal expectancy has this at around 3 goals total, which fits the bill perfectly.

The only slight concern might be fatigue - Chapecoense have had four matches in the last fortnight compared to remo's one, and they've had three days less rest. But if anything, that might lead to more gaps appearing as legs get tired.

This has all the makings of a belter - two in-form teams, both needing the points, with contrasting styles that should complement each other perfectly for an open, attacking game.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.91
+EV
+24.1%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN