GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Colwyn Bay Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Welsh Premier League clash between GAP Connah S Quay FC and Colwyn Bay. Both sides are flying high at the moment, sitting 3rd and 5th respectively, and both have been absolutely smashing it in their last 10 games with identical 70% win rates. But when you dig deeper, there's a bit more to it than meets the eye.

GAP Connah S Quay have been absolutely lethal at home, averaging 3.33 goals per game on their own patch! They've been putting some proper numbers up recently - smashing Penybont 4-0 (and Penybont are sitting 2nd in the table!), putting three past Cardiff MET, and another three past Bala Town. Their only hiccup was a 2-1 loss to Llandudno in the Welsh Cup, but that was against a side who've been averaging 2.8 points per game recently, so no shame there.

Colwyn Bay have had some crackers too - that 5-4 win against Penybont was absolutely bonkers, one of the games of the season probably! But they've also had some shockers, like that 1-4 loss at home to Barry Town. On their travels, they've been solid but not quite as prolific, managing just 1.50 goals per game away from home. They did beat Briton Ferry 2-0 away, but let's be honest, Briton Ferry are struggling near the bottom.

Head-to-head, GAP Connah S Quay have the edge with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss from 5 meetings. At home, they've won 2 out of 3 against Colwyn Bay, though the last meeting was a 1-1 draw back in August.

Both teams have been scoring regularly lately, and that's where I think the value lies. GAP Connah S Quay have been finding the net for fun at home, while Colwyn Bay have shown they can score against anyone on their day. The home side have kept 60% clean sheets at home, but Colwyn Bay have managed to score in plenty of their away games. Given both teams' attacking form and the fact that both have been scoring regularly in their recent matches, I reckon we'll see both teams get on the scoresheet here.

Key Points:

• Both teams have identical 70% win rates in their last 10 games

• GAP Connah S Quay averaging 3.33 goals per game at home

• Colwyn Bay scored 5 against 2nd-place Penybont in their last game

• Head-to-head shows 3 out of 5 meetings have seen both teams score

• Both teams have been in excellent attacking form recently

The odds of 1.73 for both teams to score seems like decent value in what should be an entertaining encounter between two in-form sides.