Godoy Cruz vs Deportivo Riestra Prediction

Bottom Boys vs Title Chasers - No Contest?

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this mismatch, shall we? Godoy Cruz are rock bottom of the Argentine league with a measly 11 points from 15 games - that's relegation form, that is. They've managed just one win all season! Meanwhile, Deportivo Riestra are flying high in 2nd place with 27 points, proper challenging for the title.

The home form for Godoy Cruz is absolutely shocking, mate. They haven't won a single home game in their last five attempts, drawing four and losing one. But here's the killer stat - they're averaging just 0.40 goals per game at home! That's not just bad, that's virtually non-existent. Look at their recent home results: 0-0, 1-1, 0-0, 0-2. They can't buy a goal in front of their own fans.

Deportivo Riestra, on the other hand, have been solid as a rock. Six wins in their last 10 games, keeping clean sheets in 60% of their matches. Even away from home, they're winning half their games recently. Yeah, they've lost their last two, but those were against decent sides in Independiente and San Lorenzo - no shame in that.

The head-to-head tells a story too. When these two met earlier this season, Riestra absolutely hammered them 3-0 on Godoy Cruz's patch. That shows you the massive gulf in class between these sides right now.

Godoy Cruz are averaging just 0.60 goals per game overall and have scored more than one goal only once in their last 10 matches. Riestra are tight at the back, conceding only 0.5 goals per game, and they know how to grind out results when needed.

The bookies have got Riestra as underdogs at 4.75, which seems absolutely bonkers to me. A team sitting 2nd in the table traveling to play the bottom side, and they're the underdogs? That's value, my friends. That's proper value.

Both teams are struggling for goals recently, but Riestra have the quality and confidence to nick one. Godoy Cruz look devoid of ideas and confidence, and that's a dangerous combination when you're playing a top side.

Match time
Recommended Bet
AWAY WIN
Odds
4.75
+EV
+208.8%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN