Independiente vs Atletico Tucuman Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Independiente are propping up the entire league table with just 9 points from 13 games - proper relegation material, mate. They've been drawing for fun lately (5 draws in their last 10) but can't buy a win. That said, they did just put three past Platense, so maybe there's a bit of fight left in 'em yet.

Atletico Tucuman are sitting pretty in mid-table but their away form is absolutely shocking, pal. Zero wins in their last five on the road, getting battered left and right. They're shipping two goals a game away from home while barely managing to score themselves. They've lost to San Lorenzo, Instituto, Velez, Newells, and Gimnasia in their travels - it's not exactly a tourist's itinerary they'd want to remember.

When these two have met before, it's been tight as a drum. Only 2 of their last 9 meetings have gone over 2.5 goals, and Independiente have only managed 1 win at home against them. Last time out, Atletico stuffed 'em 2-0.

Looking at the numbers, both sides are struggling to find the net. Independiente are averaging just 0.7 goals per game, while Atletico are even worse away from home at 0.6. The goal expectancy has this one finishing with around 2.2 goals total, which screams 'unders' to me.

The bookies have got Under 2.5 at 1.60, which looks about right to me. With both teams struggling for goals and Atletico's away form being worse than a wet weekend in Blackpool, I'm leaning towards a tight, low-scoring affair.