Peterborough vs Stevenage Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. On paper, you've got 21st vs 6th, but don't let them league positions fool you - this is a tale of two teams heading in completely different directions.

Peterborough might be lingering near the bottom, but their recent form is absolutely top-notch. Last 10 games? Six wins, one draw, three losses. That's 1.90 points per game, which is playoff form, that is. And at home? They're absolutely flying. Two goals per game minimum, banging in 2.33 on average. Have a look at who they've been putting to the sword: 3-0 against Stockport County (who are 4th in the league!), 5-0 against AFC Wimbledon, and even nicked a 1-0 against Cardiff who are top of the pile. That's not luck, that's proper form.

Stevenage, on the other hand, are sitting pretty in 6th but they've gone a bit cold recently. Their away form is shocking stuff - zero wins in their last three away trips, and they're only managing 0.33 goals per game on their travels. That's not much more than a chance every three games, is it? They've just had two 0-0 draws and a 0-1 loss. Not exactly setting the world alight.

The head-to-head tells its own story too - Peterborough have won three out of four at home against Stevenage. That's a 75% home win rate in this fixture, which speaks volumes.

Now, the bookies have got Peterborough at 3.30 to win at home. That seems a bit generous to me, given they're playing like a top-half team recently while Stevenage look like they've left their shooting boots at home when they travel. Peterborough are scoring for fun at their place, while Stevenage can't buy a goal on the road.

Sometimes you've got to look beyond the league table and see what's actually happening on the pitch right now. And right now, Peterborough are flying and Stevenage are struggling away from home. Simple as that.